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Uncommon Valor: Campaign for the South Pacific covers the campaigns for New Guinea, New Britain, New Ireland and the Solomon chain.

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Apollo11
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Claims...

Post by Apollo11 »

Hi all,
Originally posted by mdiehl
Sakai's claims have not been verified by US records. Indeed, the last time I looked for an *internet* set on the subject, the best that people could credit him with was a 200% overclaim. Moreover, there is no substantiating evidence to indicate that he shot down or even fought against every kind of Allied a/c deployed to the PTO, or had the last Japanese victory of the war. It is not even clear that he engaged any P39s, as 5th AF histories that I've been able to track down so far (albeit not all Pursuit Groups histories are available to me), do not indicate any P39 losses (or even engagements with Zekes) until after Sakai was shot up and invalidated by his encounter with SBDs. The nearest I can put him is 3000 feet above some P39s.

The accounts of a handful of Zekes flaming B17 after B17 sound very spurious to me. No doubt five pilots "flamed" the same B17 several times, before it escaped with two shot out engines. A 400-1000% overclaim by Japanese pilots would be in the correct range.
Hi all,

The verification of pilot air-to-air kills in WWII has always been somehow
"controversial"...

But this doesn't mean that we should dismiss the loosing side claims (of
German and Japanese pilots) and take as 100% accurate the claims of allied
ones (British and US).

In all the books I read about the subject it was always said that Germans had
one of the most hard and rigid system of pilot kill claims and that their
numbers should be regarded as accurate.

They (Germans) required fellow pilot (i.e. witness) verification and many
times the kill(s) would not be awarded for months because of long process.

Also Germans never awarded half kills (i.e. where two or more pilots kill one
aircraft) and instead they awarded the kill to unit (and thus the unit would
end with greater number of kills than when you would add up all the individual
pilot kills).

Of Japanese system there is good info in Saburo Sakai's book "Samurai" (try to
get European edition - the US edition was edited with certain things omitted).

In his book Sakai writes that they also had rigid and conservative system of
pilot claims - so I don't think Sakai's number (nor number of his fellow
squadron pilots) should be greatly reduced.

Also there is a one interesting book called "Aces of the rising sun" which, in
appendix, has list of what Japanese pilots claimed in war and what is
estimated to be true looses with finds after the war. If I remember correctly
the Japanese true numbers was usually around 80% of true number (as claimed by
that book).



Leo "Apollo11"


P.S.
In later stages of war (and after the tide has turned on allied side) the gun
cameras were fitted on many (most?) allied fighters and this would give rather
accurate results without any doubt. But for propaganda purposes this was never
done in earlier stages of war (the Battle of Britain is best example). Also
the claims of bomber gunners were also very very questionable because many
gunners would fire on one German aircraft and afterwards all would claim it.
In books about that period it was said this was encouraged (even if it was
known to be wrong) because of hard looses to bomber crews - they needed morale
boost.
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Post by msaario »

Originally posted by Ross Moorhouse
How about crediting a pilot with aircraft on the ground that he shot up? Should he be credited with these in WitP?
Was there a separate kill count for ground kills? My feeble memory suggests seeing somewhere that a pilot (Allied, that is) had, say, 5 air-to-air kills and 3 ground kills (airplanes). Maybe there could be two scores, one for air and other for ground kills?

Because I like as much info about my units as possible, I would personally love to have access to complete kill history of a pilot, as an example:

Saburo Sakai
-----------------
Dec 8, 1941: P-40 destroyed on ground in Manila
Dec 12, 1941: B-17 destroyed at hex 50,50
Jan 5, 1942: PT-109 destroyed at Bataan

and so forth.....

Even if I had 5000 pilots under my command in WitP, it doesn't mean I don't want to see what they have done. Besides, programming-wise, this really is a non-issue, just bookkeeping.

--Mikko
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Re: Claims...

Post by Yamamoto »

Originally posted by Apollo11
Of Japanese system there is good info in Saburo Sakai's book "Samurai" (try to
get European edition - the US edition was edited with certain things omitted).
I got my copy in Japan. What did they cut out of the US edition?

Yamamoto
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Post by mdiehl »

Are you serious? I do not know the sources you are looking at, but it took me like two minutes to see that there were P-39 combat losses in the Summer of 1942... I wasn't there, I am not talking to people who flew there, just reading books, browsing the net for diaries and so forth.
Yes I am serious and no I have not necessarily found every account. It's been a while since I looked, but found accounts of 3 units stationed at PM (1 Pursuit Group of P40s, one of P39s and one of P400s). The first two encunters saw no combat losses because the 40s were elsewhere at the time, and the 39s were 3000 feet below the Zekes -- who declined to engage. For the 35th (IIRC) PG, the first P39 combat loss occurred in a raid on Buna in which one P39 was lost and 4 or 5 Zekes were destrpyed -- bounced as they attempted to lift off. This was after Sakai had his unfortunate brush with the SBDs. So I wonder, again, if he *fought* P39s where and when.
But this doesn't mean that we should dismiss the loosing side claims (of German and Japanese pilots) and take as 100% accurate the claims of allied ones (British and US).
One should not take any pset of pilot claims at face value.
In all the books I read about the subject it was always said that Germans had one of the most hard and rigid system of pilot kill claims and that their numbers should be regarded as accurate.
That would be incorrect. German claims are comparable to Allied pilot claims in the ETO w/ respect to reliability. Gun cameras helped a bit there.
In his book Sakai writes that they also had rigid and conservative system of pilot claims - so I don't think Sakai's number (nor number of his fellow squadron pilots) should be greatly reduced.
Sakai's claims have been proven incorrcet. I'll see if I can find a link. It's not a matter of "conservative estimates." The very systems employed by all the combatants made inaccuracy an unavoidable phenom. Many claims both by Japanese and American pilots in 1942 account for more "kills" than the opposition flew planes in combat, with American error rates running 200-400% and Japanese 300-1000%. Late war Japanese claims seem primarily to be fantasies... ennobling the combat in which a friend was lost or something... by wildly distorting kills.

Interestingly, Allied claims in the ETO are quite accurate according to some German sources, and there is tangible evidence that the Germans cooked the books somewhat, designating a/c "operational losses" because the pilot survived. See: "To Command the Sky."
Also there is a one interesting book called "Aces of the rising sun" which, in appendix, has list of what Japanese pilots claimed in war and what is estimated to be true looses with finds after the war. If I remember correctly the Japanese true numbers was usually around 80% of true number (as claimed by that book).
Unless the book cites the Allied unit history's specific combat losses for each engagement in question (provides date, number of a/c lost, and cites the relevant unit history or document) such claims are worth much less than the paper on which they're printed. Especially in a fanboy publication extolling the virtues of aces (Axis or Allied). I'm familiar with the "Aces" series. They're not very critical of pilot claims although they're full of good modeling details (color schemes especiallY0, some performance specs, and interesting bios.
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Sakai, pilot claims, P40s and A6Ms

Post by mdiehl »

Here's the best general summary of what Japanese pilots' "confirmed victory" counts (confirmed by Japanese intel, not verified by actually examining Allied group histories). This should dispel any rumours or myths about the Japanese having a systematic and conservative system for estimating actual numbers of enemy a/c shot down:
Therefore the following list must be taken for what it represents, a set of claims that contain a combination of pseudo-official and personal claims, often representing a mixture of confirmed, unconfirmed, probables and damaged claims.
from: http://users.accesscomm.ca/magnusfamily/ww2jap.htm


Here is a link to a web site that says what the tally for Sakai is actually comprised of: http://billybishop.net/sakai.html

Finally, for those who love anecdotes but only read Japanese anecdotes, here is one of the more colorful comments by American AVG Ace Erik Shilling about the relative merits of the P40 series and the A6M series:

http://home.att.net/~C.C.Jordan/Shilling2.html
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I beg to disagree...

Post by Apollo11 »

Hi all,
Originally posted by mdiehl
That would be incorrect. German claims are comparable to Allied pilot claims in the ETO w/ respect to reliability. Gun cameras helped a bit there.
Hmm... the USA maybe but not the British (at least in early years)...

Sakai's claims have been proven incorrcet. I'll see if I can find a link.
I read your link (in another message) but this doesn't prove anything.

Saying "blanket" claims is never good.

BTW, Sakai result was achieved in 95% before he was wounded
and incapacitated in summer of 1942. This was time of greatest Japan victories
and I really se no reason whatsoever why would they "cook books" then.

If you read his book you can see that Sakai and man like him were 1 in 1000.
After they all were gone Japanese air force, of course, dwindled...


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Leo

Post by mdiehl »

It's not a question of intentionally cooking the books in the Japanese case. It's just that error is inherent in pilot claims, even the claims of aces, and even the claims of Sakai. One thing is for certain: Japan never had a systematic mechanism for critically evaluating pilot victory claims. Not in 1942 and not thereafter.

"Man like him" is non-sequitur. Men are just men. Pilots are just pilots. Since most pilots were shot down before they knew they were under attack, the virtuous men whom we extoll can, to a certain degree, be counted first and foremost as the luckiest.

Who's to say that some schmoe, bounced in his P39 with insufficient altitude to dive out, killed in his first combat engagement, was less of a man, less virtuous, honorable, or noble, than the most heroic, retroactively ennobled ace?

Not me. Not by a f__ing long shot.
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Post by Theng »

Where you have a major difference between US and German "kill counts" is that the US awarded half kills to pilots if two pilots claimed the kill. If two German pilots claimed the same kill, none of them got it. Therefore, the number of German kills is more understated than the US number.

Galland and Hartmann write quite eloquently about the differences in their respective books.
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I think we missunderstood...

Post by Apollo11 »

Hi all,
Originally posted by mdiehl
It's not a question of intentionally cooking the books in the Japanese case. It's just that error is inherent in pilot claims, even the claims of aces, and even the claims of Sakai. One thing is for certain: Japan never had a systematic mechanism for critically evaluating pilot victory claims. Not in 1942 and not thereafter.

"Man like him" is non-sequitur. Men are just men. Pilots are just pilots. Since most pilots were shot down before they knew they were under attack, the virtuous men whom we extoll can, to a certain degree, be counted first and foremost as the luckiest.

Who's to say that some schmoe, bounced in his P39 with insufficient altitude to dive out, killed in his first combat engagement, was less of a man, less virtuous, honorable, or noble, than the most heroic, retroactively ennobled ace?

Not me. Not by a f__ing long shot.
I think we misunderstood...


Both you and me have no idea what those people were like - all we can talk
about is what they did.


When I wrote "1 in 1000" I didn't mean the exceptional men per-se but the way
Japanese pilots were schooled and trained (please see below and re-read my
original message).

Very very few pilots were trained in pre-war Japan and those who finished
their schooling were exceptional pilots. Japanese problem, as we all now know,
lay in fact that when those highly trained and best men died there was nobody
left to replace them...

Also I was only saying that Saburo Sakai (in his book) lists his achievements
as kills (i.e. curtains) when he says he was able to verify it (i.e. saw plane
crashing into jungle/sea or by his fellow pilots).

Since this was high time for Japanese victories I said that there was no
reason to make things up (and Sakai's unit was very good).

That's all.


Leo "Apollo11"
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Leo

Post by mdiehl »

Sakai's claims were no more personally conservative than any other pilot's. Great training and extensive experience did not give even the early war Japanese pilots an edge in estimating any more than it did in combat.

Sakai's Tainan group had no fewer than eight "confirmed" aces, of whom three died in 1942 at Guadalcanal against VMF pilots with little under their belt apart from training. Veteran Japanese vs. ordinary graduates of US naval aviation training. In virtually all of these engagements the Japanese claimed twice as many or more "kills" than they achieved. In one engagement they claimed twice as many kills as there were American a/c at Cactus. (The overall kill ratio was almost exactly 1:1 using figures in Frank's Guadalcanal, and about 1.2:1 favoring the Japanese, prior to November 1942, using Lundstrom's accounts).

To repeat. There's almost nothing to pilot claims. When a pilot says he shot down a plane, I read it "I fired my guns, thought I saw strikes, and the plane was no longer in sight." Japanese and American pilots swore they'd shot down enemy a/c "in flames," "exploded" and so forth. You'd think that an event so dramatic would be unmistakable. Time after time, unit histories for all the combatants show that the explosions and the flames often never happened.

Doesn't matter if the claim is made by Saburo Sakaui, Chuck Yeager, Joe Foss, or Joe Schmoe. For *any* estimate to claim pretense of validity, it has to be based on group histories (or secondary sources that are in turn based on group histories) for actual losses.
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Re: Leo

Post by Von_Frag »

Originally posted by mdiehl
It's not a question of intentionally cooking the books in the Japanese case. It's just that error is inherent in pilot claims, even the claims of aces, and even the claims of Sakai. One thing is for certain: Japan never had a systematic mechanism for critically evaluating pilot victory claims. Not in 1942 and not thereafter.

"Man like him" is non-sequitur. Men are just men. Pilots are just pilots. Since most pilots were shot down before they knew they were under attack, the virtuous men whom we extoll can, to a certain degree, be counted first and foremost as the luckiest.

Who's to say that some schmoe, bounced in his P39 with insufficient altitude to dive out, killed in his first combat engagement, was less of a man, less virtuous, honorable, or noble, than the most heroic, retroactively ennobled ace?

Not me. Not by a f__ing long shot.
It has been many years since I've read Samurai, but I do recall Sakai encountered a P-39 flying along like there was no war going on. He even detailed the pilots red baseball cap. When he started pumping bullets into it the pilot took evasive action, Sakai said he really seemed to know his stuff. With the P-39, being damaged, the pilot dove for the deck. Sakai was surprised to see one of the side doors pop open and the pilot bail low to the ground. When Sakai flew back over the spot, he saw the pilot scrambling into the jungle. Now, I may have pulled this completely out of my a$$, but that is the way I remember reading it.

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Re: Leo

Post by Apollo11 »

Originally posted by mdiehl

<snip>

Sakai's Tainan group had no fewer than eight "confirmed" aces, of whom three died in 1942 at Guadalcanal against VMF pilots with little under their belt apart from training. Veteran Japanese vs. ordinary graduates of US naval aviation training. In virtually all of these engagements the Japanese claimed twice as many or more "kills" than they achieved. In one engagement they claimed twice as many kills as there were American a/c at Cactus. (The overall kill ratio was almost exactly 1:1 using figures in Frank's Guadalcanal, and about 1.2:1 favoring the Japanese, prior to November 1942, using Lundstrom's accounts).

<snip>
Ahh... but there is one "tiny" thing you forget here... the
Japanese flew for hundreds (thousands) of miles to Guadalcanal
and had to fight there after hours and hours of flying. This alone
was achievement of its own...


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Re: Re: Leo

Post by msaario »

Originally posted by Von_Frag


It has been many years since I've read Samurai, but I do recall Sakai encountered a P-39 flying along like there was no war going on. He even detailed the pilots red baseball cap. When he started pumping bullets into it the pilot took evasive action, Sakai said he really seemed to know his stuff. With the P-39, being damaged, the pilot dove for the deck. Sakai was surprised to see one of the side doors pop open and the pilot bail low to the ground. When Sakai flew back over the spot, he saw the pilot scrambling into the jungle. Now, I may have pulled this completely out of my a$$, but that is the way I remember reading it.

Von Frag
Had to browse the book (Finnish translation from 1958)... This particular Airacobra pilot was actually engaged in a fierce dogfight with Zeros. To cut the long story short, as Saburo was 40 meters away from the P-39 - low in ammunition - preparing to fire his guns, the pilot bailed out at some 50 meters altitude. Moments before the pilot hit the ground, his parachute opened. The plane crashed just meters away from him. When Sakai returned to the scene, the pilot had disappeared to the woods nearby.

It's funny. By just browsing the Samurai for some five minutes, I read Sakai confirming the Zeros shortcomings (lack of speed, dive-ability and protection) and greatly praising the Allied pilots he flew against. He described many dogfight accounts where the enemy was pushing his plane to the limits time after time, escaping many Zero attacks. But, still, he claimed, in the end he got the best of them...

He must have been real poet, if no P-39s were lost in action in the Summer of 1942 in the New Guinea area! This guy parachuting before being fired at, the one that the flew (like there was no war) 20 meters behind taking pictures with his Leica as two wingmen covered Sakai's behind and then used 4 pieces of 20mm ammunition to cut the plane in half. Or, what about the one he chased in to the side of the mountain and almost crashed himself?

At least the book makes an interesting reading, and I've read it 10-15 times...

I am sure mdiehl has read about the man's character in one of the links he provided (quote: "A man who held honour in the highest regard and NEVER lost his under any circumstances.")? He became friends with many former enemy pilots after the war and was active in meeting them until his death two years ago. They all have praised him as a man. Maybe that tells about his true character enough?

That's why I trust and admire him. He was no bullshitter.

--Mikko
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Post by mdiehl »

Ahh... but there is one "tiny" thing you forget here... the
Japanese flew for hundreds (thousands) of miles to Guadalcanal
and had to fight there after hours and hours of flying. This alone
was achievement of its own...
This is really immaterial. USAAF fighter pilots fought their way through Germany and back, and Allied pilots fought at long range in the Pacific wherever Allies were on the offensive. No one implies that somehow the loss stats need to be fudged because of their fatigue. In any case, as I have noted numerous times before, and as those-who-disagree always ignore (they clam up and don't talk about it), in the CV engagements, (1) the Japanese and American pilots had to fly the same distance, carrier to carrier, (2) in practice, these distances were easily within the standard operational radius of the A6M2/3 and near the limits of the radius of the F4F, and (3) in these engagements the VF F4F pilots shot down roughly 1.4 A6M2/3s per F4F lost. In short, there is no evidence that by trainig or experience Japanese aviators were particularly better than American naval/marine aviators. USAAF is another matter, and one on which I currently have no particular opinion other than to be highly skeptical of anything anecdotal.

And of course, all that talk about training, veteran-hood, and so forth has absloutely no bearing on the veracity of pilot claims.

Mikko's points about Sakai's character are part of the problem with this discussion. Sakai was a stand up guy. It is *irrelevant* to the main point. Pilot claims of enemy ships destroyed are inherently inaccurate. I "trust" Sakai to know how to fly a Zero. He (and for that matter, Caiden) has, however, no credibility whatsoever as an *authoritative* source on *Allied* combat losses.
He must have been real poet, if no P-39s
Try reading what I write. I said that of the units for which I've fonud decent unit histories so far, there are no accounts of P39s lost prior to Sakai's incident with the SBDs. Assuming for the moment that Sakai is correct about fighting a P39 in March, or whenever, it was probably an RAAF unit.
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Re: Re: Re: Leo

Post by Von_Frag »

Originally posted by msaario


Had to browse the book (Finnish translation from 1958)... This particular Airacobra pilot was actually engaged in a fierce dogfight with Zeros. To cut the long story short, as Saburo was 40 meters away from the P-39 - low in ammunition - preparing to fire his guns, the pilot bailed out at some 50 meters altitude. Moments before the pilot hit the ground, his parachute opened. The plane crashed just meters away from him. When Sakai returned to the scene, the pilot had disappeared to the woods nearby.

It's funny. By just browsing the Samurai for some five minutes, I read Sakai confirming the Zeros shortcomings (lack of speed, dive-ability and protection) and greatly praising the Allied pilots he flew against. He described many dogfight accounts where the enemy was pushing his plane to the limits time after time, escaping many Zero attacks. But, still, he claimed, in the end he got the best of them...

He must have been real poet, if no P-39s were lost in action in the Summer of 1942 in the New Guinea area! This guy parachuting before being fired at, the one that the flew (like there was no war) 20 meters behind taking pictures with his Leica as two wingmen covered Sakai's behind and then used 4 pieces of 20mm ammunition to cut the plane in half. Or, what about the one he chased in to the side of the mountain and almost crashed himself?

At least the book makes an interesting reading, and I've read it 10-15 times...

I am sure mdiehl has read about the man's character in one of the links he provided (quote: "A man who held honour in the highest regard and NEVER lost his under any circumstances.")? He became friends with many former enemy pilots after the war and was active in meeting them until his death two years ago. They all have praised him as a man. Maybe that tells about his true character enough?

That's why I trust and admire him. He was no bullshitter.

--Mikko
Mikko,
Thanks for the clarification.

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Post by Von_Frag »

Originally posted by mdiehl




Try reading what I write. I said that of the units for which I've fonud decent unit histories so far, there are no accounts of P39s lost prior to Sakai's incident with the SBDs. Assuming for the moment that Sakai is correct about fighting a P39 in March, or whenever, it was probably an RAAF unit.
In those early chaotic days that describe the reality of PNG in 1942, do you think accurate record keeping was a priority at the time? I'm not trying to bust your nads, your points and arguments are concise and well thought out. If Sakai claims he mixed it up with a 39, I don't see any reason not to believe him. I don't think this is a case of "saving face", what would he have had to save face over? And you are correct, it could have been a 39 from an RAAF unit, he did not as far as I recall detail the markings on the AC even though he said he was as close as 50 meters away.

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Post by byron13 »

Originally posted by mdiehl
until after Sakai was shot up and invalidated by his encounter with SBDs.
Wasn't it the ventral guns fired by a group of TBFs?
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Post by U2 »

Originally posted by byron13


Wasn't it the ventral guns fired by a group of TBFs?
Hi

Thats what I've read too....
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Post by mdiehl »

Depending on the source you can read that he mistook the a/c for Grumman fighters or torpedo bombers, and that they were either torpedo bombers or SBDs. The NY Times in his obit said they were TBFs. I'd read elsewhere some time in the last 5 years (IDNR where) that they could not have been TBFs and must therefore have been SBDs. It scarcely matters.
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Post by byron13 »

Originally posted by mdiehl
It scarcely matters.
Quite true.
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