As requested by Nemo, here’s a picture of southern China.

1) represents a stack of 20 Japanese units, if cursor intel is correct. There are about 10 more LCUs scattered in the neighboring hexes. You can see the red/black lines that illustrate how I try to block the flow of supplies (the one up north is due to another Chinese roadblock LCU which is not visible).
Note that I don’t believe I have cut them off, but I think that supply flow should be at least impeded a bit. I think the fact that so far the stack appears to be rather static may support that assumption.
There’s a second stack of about 20 Japanese units further north.
2) represents the heroic defenders of Chuhsien. There was another attack on the base this turn, these are the results:
Ground combat at Chuhsien (88,56)
Japanese Deliberate attack
Attacking force 20690 troops, 192 guns, 72 vehicles, Assault Value = 648
Defending force 15699 troops, 81 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 514
Japanese adjusted assault: 412
Allied adjusted defense: 601
Japanese assault odds: 1 to 2 (fort level 2)
Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), preparation(-), experience(-)
Attacker:
Japanese ground losses:
1427 casualties reported
Squads: 12 destroyed, 97 disabled
Non Combat: 1 destroyed, 101 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 9 disabled
Allied ground losses:
296 casualties reported
Squads: 1 destroyed, 17 disabled
Non Combat: 1 destroyed, 9 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
Assaulting units:
17th Division
22nd/A Division
2nd Ind.Mixed Regiment
22nd/B Division
Defending units:
88th Chinese Corps
100th Chinese Corps
3rd War Area
25th Group Army
I think he will need more troops to take the base (which is well supplied). Also, the Japanese LCUs involved in the attacks will hopefully need a bit of a break when the fighting is over. Japanese raw AV started at 841 when Chuhsien was first attacked (c.f. my post 38 above). I did extract a base force (which may have triggered this attack) comprising 40 AV, thus I lost something like 40 raw AV since the beginning of the attacks.
At 3), there is the 115th Jap. Rgt, on which 3 Chinese corps are converging. 2 more are coming down south as well. It should not only be possible to beat the Rgt up a bit, but against a force of 5 Chinese corps the three bases on the southern rim of the map I present should not be able to hold, especially as I know that at least one more LCU from the region has been moved to the Canton region.
I think the main effect here may be to create a bit of a diversion which may cause aztez to weaken his main assaults.
As always, thanks for your interest, and feel free to comment.
Hartwig





