This is a quote of Jocke's in GreyJoy's AAR and has me thinking more on my own plans to invade Australia and what I can hope to accomplish by doing so.
ORIGINAL: JocMeister
I don´t think the Jap player have any hope of "isolating" OZ whatever he does take or not. The allies have just way too much shipping available. Its simply no doable. You can ship more then enough fuel just using xAKs if needed. I don´t really know how much fuel I have at OZ since I havn´t checked. But I have never been low at any point. 2 million? 3? So I don´t agree with the fuel problem at all. The Jap player can never cover all the possible approaches to OZ taking Pago Pago and Christmas would be a nuisance at most.
I just hit April 43 and I have so much fuel and supplies everywhere I don´t really know where to put it anymore. And I have done so without using Christmas or Perth. So I´m pretty much in agreement with CR on this one. As an allied player you don´t need Christmas Island, Perth or Pago Pago for that matter.
In a month of game time playing Jocke, I've already come to the conclusion that he'll send transport TF's far to the south, most likely skirting the map edges trading time for the guarantee his war material arrives safely. His thoughts echo mine as far as the value of a Perth only option for Japan.
What are the reinforcements the Allies get if Japan crosses the LOD in Australia?
I see two options available to me in regards to Australia. The first, I capture Perth, Darwin and north of Rockhampton to destroy portions of the Australian army in detail and strat bomb the industry without crossing the LOD, withdrawing before Allied strength overwhlems me. The second would be a full blown invasion of Australia with landings in the south to completely stop the flow of war material arriving in Australia, but triggering the reinforcements.
Another option is invade all the way down to New Zealand and break any chance of material reaching Australia from the U.S., while capturing Perth to further delay a buildup of Australia preventing a direct thrust into the DEI from the south for perhaps all of 1943.
Any operations I mount against Australia must achieve more than just delay, there has to be a strategic goal. Either trashing of the industry, destruction of Australia's Army or the outright capture of the entire continent. Otherwise, there is absolutely no point to invading it at all in my opinion.
Thoughts?