Hairy Asian Experiences - GreyJoy (J) vs. Q-Ball (A)

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Lokasenna
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RE: The battle for Lautem

Post by Lokasenna »

ORIGINAL: veji1

Of course Obvert, I didn't mean dirty as in gamey or anything, rather that Greyjoy in this case would forfeit a global battle plan involving all his assets and function in a severly "degraded" mode where he only uses assets that can only marginally slow down QBall and have as a goal to annoy him more than anything else.

A valid tactic IMO. Desperate times, desperate measures.
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RE: The battle for Lautem

Post by veji1 »

ORIGINAL: Lokasenna

ORIGINAL: veji1

Of course Obvert, I didn't mean dirty as in gamey or anything, rather that Greyjoy in this case would forfeit a global battle plan involving all his assets and function in a severly "degraded" mode where he only uses assets that can only marginally slow down QBall and have as a goal to annoy him more than anything else.

A valid tactic IMO. Desperate times, desperate measures.

Oh yes very much so. To some extent the japanese player has to manage the shrinking of his navy : still having a massive navy in 1945 when you don't have fuel anymore to use it effectively makes no sense, you end up with your BBs in port waiting to be sunk there, or going on a Musashi style deathrun just for the sake of it.

you also should in a way "expand" your navy along with the fuel curve, so there is an aspect of monitoring the economy and knowing what you can afford to do that comes into place : A fully equipped defensive operations with KB dancing around to avoid SSs, BBs running in an out, flotillas of DDs and CA/CLs etc just costs an arm and a leg in terms of fuel so Greyjoy might not have the capacity to do that anymore anyway.
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obvert
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RE: The battle for Lautem

Post by obvert »

ORIGINAL: veji1

Of course Obvert, I didn't mean dirty as in gamey or anything, rather that Greyjoy in this case would forfeit a global battle plan involving all his assets and function in a severly "degraded" mode where he only uses assets that can only marginally slow down QBall and have as a goal to annoy him more than anything else.

Yes, I completely agree with the idea. I think any late war Japanese player has to become very resourceful and even more deceptive and unpredictable than previously. Just trying to clarify the dirty part! [;)]

As the Allies move forward they always bypass something, and often those places that are bypassed can become a thorn or a distraction at the least.
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Jellicoe
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RE: The battle for Lautem

Post by Jellicoe »

Those allied cruiser squadrons have to be looking pretty bare no matter what reinforcements
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crsutton
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RE: The battle for Lautem

Post by crsutton »

ORIGINAL: obvert

Maybe for other playability and gam balance reasons the ship VPs were kept slightly lower. If CVs are suddenly worth 700 points (and BBs 500+) would any Allied player use them in 42? Should losing a CV battle equal the point totals of losing Chungking?

Later this could have big implications as well. Wouldn't it behoove the Japanese player to not make any new large ships both to avoid losing them (and several 1,000 VPs) and to save HI for then producing the many zillions of planes that could be used to kill Allied ships? An Allied player in the late game could invade several of the Marianas and LOSE points by having some BB, APA, AKA sunk along with a few CVE.

A change like even twice what it is now could throw things off a bit.

Probably not possible but I have for a long time advocated for a sliding scale. The loss of an Allied carrier in 45 should cost perhaps 3 times the VP points than it would in 42. Likewise the loss of an full Allied division in 45 as the war was closing should cost more. Americans were getting used to the costs of war but a major loss due to error would have cost a lot politically on the home front.

And in return, the loss of a Japanese carrier in 42 should carry a lot more weight than it would in 1945 when losses are practically unavoidable for the Japanese player.

This would encourage the Allied player to be more aggressive with his carriers in 42 and give the Japanese player somewhat of a bonus for saving as least some carriers to the end.
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obvert
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RE: The battle for Lautem

Post by obvert »

ORIGINAL: crsutton

ORIGINAL: obvert

Maybe for other playability and gam balance reasons the ship VPs were kept slightly lower. If CVs are suddenly worth 700 points (and BBs 500+) would any Allied player use them in 42? Should losing a CV battle equal the point totals of losing Chungking?

Later this could have big implications as well. Wouldn't it behoove the Japanese player to not make any new large ships both to avoid losing them (and several 1,000 VPs) and to save HI for then producing the many zillions of planes that could be used to kill Allied ships? An Allied player in the late game could invade several of the Marianas and LOSE points by having some BB, APA, AKA sunk along with a few CVE.

A change like even twice what it is now could throw things off a bit.

Probably not possible but I have for a long time advocated for a sliding scale. The loss of an Allied carrier in 45 should cost perhaps 3 times the VP points than it would in 42. Likewise the loss of an full Allied division in 45 as the war was closing should cost more. Americans were getting used to the costs of war but a major loss due to error would have cost a lot politically on the home front.

And in return, the loss of a Japanese carrier in 42 should carry a lot more weight than it would in 1945 when losses are practically unavoidable for the Japanese player.

This would encourage the Allied player to be more aggressive with his carriers in 42 and give the Japanese player somewhat of a bonus for saving as least some carriers to the end.

+1

Great thoughts. Really makes sense from a game pal perspective. Couldn't the upgrade paths change the VPs for each ship? So there is incentive to make it better for the Allies and incur the possible cost, but then also there is incentive for the Japanese player to lower the VPs and get those later upgrades.
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leehunt27@bloomberg.net
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RE: The battle for Lautem

Post by leehunt27@bloomberg.net »

CRSutton those are great ideas on shifting point values for US & Japanese assets between 1942-1945. It probably won't happen at this point in the product cycle unfortunately, but its something that could be understood between players, or applauded in AAR's on the forums.

As for playing dirty, the Japanese player, as the ultimate "losing" side has to do whatever it takes (as long as its not gamey of course). When a nation (or movement) resorts to suicide attacks, its not winning obviously. But the Japanese are just trying to get to the negotiating table and not the atomic bomb. Harassing attacks, tactics that frustrate the heck out of the Allied player, well that's kind of your job towards the end. The US navy's experience at Okinawa, under relentless Kamikaze attack, was absolutely terrifying and enough to make the Admirals not want to embark on Operation Olympic, the final invasion of Japan itself. And arguably that kamikaze offensive was poorly managed.

Fortunately there's a lot of room for improvement by Japanese players! Check out these stats below:

According to John Costello's The Pacific War 1941-1945, and I guess this excludes Pearl Harbor, major warship losses in the Pacific theater were:

US Navy: 2 BB's 5 CV's, 6 CVE's, 10 cruisers
Royal Navy: 1 BB, 1 BC, 1 CV, 6 cruisers
Japanese navy: 10 BB's, 15 CV's, 5 CVE's, 36 cruisers
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RE: The battle for Lautem

Post by Lokasenna »

ORIGINAL: leehunt27@bloomberg.net

CRSutton those are great ideas on shifting point values for US & Japanese assets between 1942-1945. It probably won't happen at this point in the product cycle unfortunately, but its something that could be understood between players, or applauded in AAR's on the forums.

As for playing dirty, the Japanese player, as the ultimate "losing" side has to do whatever it takes (as long as its not gamey of course). When a nation (or movement) resorts to suicide attacks, its not winning obviously. But the Japanese are just trying to get to the negotiating table and not the atomic bomb. Harassing attacks, tactics that frustrate the heck out of the Allied player, well that's kind of your job towards the end. The US navy's experience at Okinawa, under relentless Kamikaze attack, was absolutely terrifying and enough to make the Admirals not want to embark on Operation Olympic, the final invasion of Japan itself. And arguably that kamikaze offensive was poorly managed.

Fortunately there's a lot of room for improvement by Japanese players! Check out these stats below:

According to John Costello's The Pacific War 1941-1945, and I guess this excludes Pearl Harbor, major warship losses in the Pacific theater were:

US Navy: 2 BB's 5 CV's, 6 CVE's, 10 cruisers
Royal Navy: 1 BB, 1 BC, 1 CV, 6 cruisers
Japanese navy: 10 BB's, 15 CV's, 5 CVE's, 36 cruisers

The US didn't lose any BBs in the Pacific after Pearl Harbor. Unless I live in some kind of alternate universe. Also not sure the IJN count is accurate (maybe it's not counting Mutsu?).
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leehunt27@bloomberg.net
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RE: The battle for Lautem

Post by leehunt27@bloomberg.net »

maybe it does count Pearl Harbor. Regardless, the US navy basically smashed the Japanese overall the rest of the war.
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RE: The battle for Lautem

Post by alaviner »

ORIGINAL: Lokasenna

ORIGINAL: leehunt27@bloomberg.net

CRSutton those are great ideas on shifting point values for US & Japanese assets between 1942-1945. It probably won't happen at this point in the product cycle unfortunately, but its something that could be understood between players, or applauded in AAR's on the forums.

As for playing dirty, the Japanese player, as the ultimate "losing" side has to do whatever it takes (as long as its not gamey of course). When a nation (or movement) resorts to suicide attacks, its not winning obviously. But the Japanese are just trying to get to the negotiating table and not the atomic bomb. Harassing attacks, tactics that frustrate the heck out of the Allied player, well that's kind of your job towards the end. The US navy's experience at Okinawa, under relentless Kamikaze attack, was absolutely terrifying and enough to make the Admirals not want to embark on Operation Olympic, the final invasion of Japan itself. And arguably that kamikaze offensive was poorly managed.

Fortunately there's a lot of room for improvement by Japanese players! Check out these stats below:

According to John Costello's The Pacific War 1941-1945, and I guess this excludes Pearl Harbor, major warship losses in the Pacific theater were:

US Navy: 2 BB's 5 CV's, 6 CVE's, 10 cruisers
Royal Navy: 1 BB, 1 BC, 1 CV, 6 cruisers
Japanese navy: 10 BB's, 15 CV's, 5 CVE's, 36 cruisers

The US didn't lose any BBs in the Pacific after Pearl Harbor. Unless I live in some kind of alternate universe. Also not sure the IJN count is accurate (maybe it's not counting Mutsu?).
They probably did not count the BBs that were raised and repaired after Pearl
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RE: The battle for Lautem

Post by princep01 »

I believe the loss count is correct if one lumps CVLs in w/ the CVs.  The US did lose only 2 BBs (Arizona in Pearl) and Oklahoma when it had been raised and was being towed to the US for a major face lift....I guess the "temporary flotation failing" got her.  All the other "sunk" BBs at Pearl were raised and to the best of my knowledge, all saw action later in the war.  Some of them were with Adm. Oldendorff (sp?) when they nailed the Fuso and Yamashiro in part of the Leyte naval battles.  I don't know this, but I'd bet there were some of the Pearl Harbor crew on those old US BBs that got them.  Can you imagine the sense of revenge those men felt? 
 
The Brit Cv was a CVL (Hermes) lost in the KB's Indian Ocean incursion.
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RE: The battle for Lautem

Post by leehunt27@bloomberg.net »

Greyjoy could we a see the Intel screen and VP's?
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Bif1961
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RE: The battle for Lautem

Post by Bif1961 »

The Utah was lost at Pearl Harbor and is still there, though it was a decommissoned Battleship turned into a target veesel. It's memorial is on the ooposite side of Ford Island from the Azirona's.
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GreyJoy
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RE: The battle for Lautem

Post by GreyJoy »

Here am I guys...finally.
It's been a very tough period at work. A part from the usual stuff (banckrupcy trials and agreements), I had to participate to a 3 days-conference where I was called to be one of the speakers... it was my first time as a speaker and, despite I had studied a LOT to be ready for that moment... well... you really need to get used to it! As soon as I walked up the desk and saw those 500 or so doctors and professors staring at me...my legs got weak and my voice was unsure... it was really a hard challenge.
Despite I could have done a bit better, I cannot complain. I'd give myself a B- .... sufficient...not much more... but I got a sort of name-visibility and that's already enough.

BTW, now I should be back on track!

The game proceed slowly in the last weeks. We reached Feb 19, 1944... and the allies have consolidated their presence in the island-chain north of Ambon-Boela line. We sunk several cargos with engineers aboard...but nothing important (xAPc, xAKs, LSTs etc...) nothing to write home about.
Timor hasn't been invaded. Since the last battles at Koepang, the Allied invasion force has retired back to the Northern Coast of Oz, along with their carrier fleet. They managed to conquer Watar tough (north of Dili) and now they have a potential level 8 AF north of Timor... couldn't avoid it...sorry :-(

Losses have been high... too many DDs and some 1400 planes in the last month... but we've slowed them down...

The KB is still lingering at Kendari but its moves are now very limited. To the east there are the allies that are building all those little islands in the Mollucces... and to the south the reign of the bukas...the allied subs... along with the enemy CVs.

Ambon, Boela, Namlea, Lautem, Dili, Pantar, Koepang and Roti are all closed for any operation. Bombed daily by the 4Es fleet from northern Oz and from Molu-Kai-Enlanden.

Over Biak and Sorong the P-47s are obtaining a 3-1 with their sweeps but we're holding our own in a way or another.

Sarmi keeps on holding and just repulsed another attack by overwhelming forces...amazing!

At Ramree he landed an army of 1500 AVs... we'll soon fall but we managed to place a reinforced division just outside the river crossing and some artillery is arriving too. We should lose Ramree but hold the perimeter (I hope so at least).

I hope i'll be able to update regularly now and reply to some of your inquiries

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GreyJoy
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RE: The battle for Lautem

Post by GreyJoy »

ORIGINAL: Cribtop

I don't disagree that GJ has done well in terms of losses inflicted. However, I would recommend to GJ that he evaluate after each major clash the deterrent capabilities of his remaining IJN. I'm not a huge fleet in being guy, but once KB and the IJN surface fleet suffer a certain level of depletion the Allies suddenly have a lot more freedom of movement due to the reduction in IJN combat power. In this unique game, the difference in winning or losing (in the run out the clock sense) will probably be very fine. Delaying Q by an extra 60 days may make all the difference, and the longer GJ can stay in "slowly declining" mode, as opposed to "rapidly circling the drain" mode, will help buy those precious days.


I perfectly understand that Crib. I decided to "give battle" at Lautem and Koepang cause I thought I had the right chance (maybe the last one) to really inflict a decisive loss to the allies, so to smash their invasion force or to sink some CVs. It was the only place where I had the chance to use the KB and the LBA in combo... but in war fortunes may vary a lot and we ended up with a draw...which probably means, strategically, a Japanese defeat at this point of the game.
However i'm trying to use my fleet in being as much as I can... now my KB is still untouched (in terms of CVs) but the surface fleet is no longer what it used to be... i'm left with 4 operative BBs and a very few CAs... not to talk about modern DDs...I barely have the minimum needed escort for my CVs... can't go on like that. Now I must use my fleet in the smartest possible way...which won't be easy in mid 1944 as you all know.

But i'll keep on fighting with the aim of delaying him as much as I can. Now he's approaching my second defensive line ( Menado) but his penetration vector remains thin...with Biak-Sorong and Timor-Kendari creating a dangerous bottleneck in his penetration.
It also seems that he won't advance in the pacific anytime soon, so this will give me the chance to reposition a lot of my forces and keep my defensive as strong as possible. Let's see.

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GreyJoy
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RE: The battle for Lautem

Post by GreyJoy »

ORIGINAL: MrBlizzard

The difference in ship sunk is really impressive!
You've done far better than Japan in RL, your enemy is still far away from HI and his naval losses are huge.
This last battle is a clear victory for you with all those CVE sunk and his advance stopped again !
You should be really satisfied!
even if, of course, is a Pyrric victory 'cause you can't replace your losses. but all we know that in '44 Japan can only win this kind of victories. Japan could also easily loose badly at this point!!
I believe that if your opponent is pushing towards DEI and Philippines instead than HI is very good for you, you have banked resources enough to to make the industry run and so you can allow to loose territory in that direction.
It would be worse if he would open a new front in Kuriles or Mariannes to menace directly HI but it doesn't seem the case now.
Keep on like this and good luck [:)]


well, yes and now...
Once he estabilished steadly in the Mollucces, the sealines to bring back oil and fuel will be severly ruined. My empire will be so divided in two, with the inability to send convoys directly from Japan to Kendari and back... everything that will need to go to Timor/Kendari will be redirected from Singapore... not a fuel-wise route

Now also Timor is more or less isolated. Without an operative airfield I won't be able to protect any TF reaching there and, even if I accumulated quite a lot supplies there, with the daily bombings, it will be just a matter of weeks before my garrisons will start starving....
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GreyJoy
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RE: The battle for Lautem

Post by GreyJoy »

here's a screenshot of the allied penetration and the bottleneck rapresented by Sorong-Biak and Boela-Ambon areas

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crsutton
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RE: The battle for Lautem

Post by crsutton »

My experience was that for the Allied drives to be sustained they have to take good ports. Sorong is the obvious choice here. Manado helps. As the Allied force grows they just must have plenty of large ports to sustain the volume of shipping traffic. Eventually, even a size seven port like Manus is just too small to sustain operations.

Late game the Allies must take at least one major port with a shipyard. So Manilia, Singapore, Hong Kong all become key and need to be heavily defended by the Japanese player. Without a good shipyard close to the fighting, the Allies are severely handicapped. For this reason alone I shy away from a Central Pacific or Northern Pacific plan alone. In fact, I now realize that a Southern DEI move from Darwin is much less attractive than a Northern drive that threatens Singapore. The Allies must have a good DEI or PI plan in mind because they sooner or later "have" to take a shipyard.

If the Allies size a major shipyard, I think it is worth the Japanese player's losses to mount a massive bombing attack right away. You got to keep these assets away from the Allies as long as possible.
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obvert
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RE: The battle for Lautem

Post by obvert »

Sorong, Waigeo and Morotai would extend his interests well here. The bottleneck won't likely hurt much if he has Fletchers everywhere and good CAP up on the bases, as there is little you can do with those areas when they are the front. It's when he's passed them by and moved forward that you can again hit and 'close' that area to easy traffic with kamis and pinpoint strikes every so often.

If your next line is built and ready the next job would now be the one after that. Mindanao, Borneo, the PI. Pick your spots to defend and your moments to strike. Make him think you've been exhausted by this maybe for a bit and some openings might arise as he struggles to get through your ground forces, likely needing all of those 4Es to do it.

He still has a long way to go.

One thing to look into now is NF. He'll want to start strat bombing at some point and he won't want to do it during the day, even though you guys have avoided night bombing so far. Look carefully as there are a lot of 'hidden' NF groups that fly recon and FB early and then can upgrade to either the Nick Id or the Dinah III KAI, but not both, interestingly. Make sure to get a good amount of the Irving NF producing as well. The J1N1-Sa has radar and is much more effective.
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RE: The battle for Lautem

Post by JocMeister »

I don´t think a big harbour is that important. He can unload at Darwin/Manus (6/7) and then just shuttle it forward using LST. I´m currently sustaining half the allied advance from a level 4 port. Naval support is of course a big factor but its no problem.

What he really needs is a level 9 AF to base the 4Es at. There arn´t many in the area. Manado and Timor are the only one I think?
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