Rumble in the Southwest witpqs-A vs Andav-J 2011-11-29 to 2017-02-08

Post descriptions of your brilliant victories and unfortunate defeats here.

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witpqs
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1943 September 13

Post by witpqs »

1943 September 13

The Empire captured:


The Allies captured:


There were Imperial amphibious operations at:


There were Allied amphibious operations at:


Our subs took a tanker and a PB.

The upper Burma Road has been cleared completely.
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Ground combat at 63,45 (near Bhamo)

Allied Deliberate attack

Attacking force 16712 troops, 194 guns, 87 vehicles, Assault Value = 470

Defending force 4012 troops, 26 guns, 6 vehicles, Assault Value = 104

Allied adjusted assault: 333

Japanese adjusted defense: 40

Allied assault odds: 8 to 1

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), disruption(-), supply(-)
Attacker:

Japanese ground losses:
1285 casualties reported
Squads: 27 destroyed, 20 disabled
Non Combat: 36 destroyed, 11 disabled
Engineers: 8 destroyed, 0 disabled
Guns lost 6 (4 destroyed, 2 disabled)
Units retreated 2

Allied ground losses:
112 casualties reported
Squads: 0 destroyed, 22 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled

Defeated Japanese Units Retreating!

Assaulting units:
96th Chinese Division
9th Australian Division

Defending units:
11th Infantry Regiment
4th Ind Engineer Regiment

The Indian para Bde has been on the march ever since being flown into Paoshan and will arrive at Kunming tomorrow. The first enemy unit has already made it to the town. The two tank units are now one hex west of Paoshan and moving as fast as they can. George fighters continue to sweep Kunming but also swept Paoshan today. They were reduced to fighting our radar beams, as all fighters based there were on LRCAP over Tsuyung.

The attack at Truk went poorly compared to last time with regards to casualty ratios, evidence in my mind that adequate rest tips the scales faster. Our force AV dropped to 660, a much larger dip, and fell significantly more than the defender's AV must have (from looking at the combat results). We did destroy a number of Imperial squads. The bombardment TF did not make it that far - I should have used full speed. They will bombard tonight to keep up the pressure.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ground combat at Truk (112,108)

Allied Deliberate attack

Attacking force 24204 troops, 395 guns, 508 vehicles, Assault Value = 749

Defending force 17533 troops, 223 guns, 5 vehicles, Assault Value = 356

Allied adjusted assault: 1145

Japanese adjusted defense: 1006

Allied assault odds: 1 to 1 (fort level 0)

Allied Assault reduces fortifications to 0

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+)
Attacker:

Japanese ground losses:
528 casualties reported
Squads: 37 destroyed, 25 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 17 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
Guns lost 24 (14 destroyed, 10 disabled)

Allied ground losses:
865 casualties reported
Squads: 5 destroyed, 47 disabled
Non Combat: 8 destroyed, 29 disabled
Engineers: 1 destroyed, 4 disabled
Guns lost 20 (1 destroyed, 19 disabled)
Vehicles lost 54 (5 destroyed, 49 disabled)

Assaulting units:
763rd Tank Battalion
1st Marine Division
762nd Tank Battalion
3rd Marine Division
Otago (Mtd) Rifles Regiment
1st AmphTrac Engineer Battalion
3rd Pioneer Battalion
3rd NZ Division

Defending units:
42nd Naval Guard Unit
Sasebo 5th SNLF
Guards Mixed Brigade
30th Infantry Regiment
48th Naval Guard Unit
46th Naval Guard Unit
41st Infantry Rgt /2
Truk Naval Fortress
4th Base Force
4th Port Unit


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The various task forces at and around Truk are refueling and will do so for the next day or two. PacAO is loading at Ponape and will be in place on Truk before the next ground assault.

The tanker sunk was NW of the Marianas, and there are seen 2x TK and 2x AK in the northern Marianas. Presumably the Empire is equipping bases there to carry the fight when the southern Marianas is invaded. The lighter carrier forces have been unseen for a few days, but these carriers are still operating to the west.

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witpqs
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RE: 1943 September 13

Post by witpqs »

Here are the troops at Truk.

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traskott
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RE: 1943 September 13

Post by traskott »

Keep atacking at Truk. 37 combat squads destroyed is a lot of adjusted A.V. . Keep pressing... Marines are very tough. Don't hesitate to mantain the offensive.
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witpqs
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RE: 1943 September 13

Post by witpqs »

Those 37 squads were most likely already disabled. 25 squads were newly disabled, affecting the odds as shown below. The problem is that successive attacks - when the attackers have gained elevated disruption and fatigue, like in this situation - have always resulted in the loss ratios getting much worse for the attacker. When PacAO gets ashore that should change things significantly.

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JocMeister
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RE: 1943 September 13

Post by JocMeister »

I agree with you witpqs. Let them recover a bit and wait for the HQ!
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Crackaces
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RE: 1943 September 13

Post by Crackaces »

ORIGINAL: witpqs

Those 37 squads were most likely already disabled. 25 squads were newly disabled, affecting the odds as shown below. The problem is that successive attacks - when the attackers have gained elevated disruption and fatigue, like in this situation - have always resulted in the loss ratios getting much worse for the attacker. When PacAO gets ashore that should change things significantly.

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I might propose that one thing your model assumes is infinite supply .. I think in this case the defender is limited and you can reinforce supplies. At some point the multiplier for supplies kicks in although you do not have data how close you are ...

But we do know that DA's and ground attacks by air diminish supply along with recovering disabled squads if they are doing so ....
"What gets us into trouble is not what we don't know. It's what we know for sure that just ain't so"
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witpqs
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RE: 1943 September 13

Post by witpqs »

Agree. So far the flak is still murderous, so I know he has supply. I only fly the attack bombers (B-25D1 and B-25G) on ground assault turns, and lost 12 or 13 of them last time. No idea how high his piles of reserves are.
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Crackaces
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RE: 1943 September 13

Post by Crackaces »

So far the flak is still murderous...

Those 88L71's AA guns are modeled quite well in the game [8D] Maybe eventually you will get lucky and disable these bad boys so you can ground attack effectively .... [;)]
"What gets us into trouble is not what we don't know. It's what we know for sure that just ain't so"
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witpqs
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RE: 1943 September 13

Post by witpqs »

Fired up Tracker to get the top flak losses:

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witpqs
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RE: 1943 September 13

Post by witpqs »

And to illustrate more clearly how tough it is on attack bombers specifically, here are just the Allies' flak losses. Note that attack bombers have made some shipping attacks (noted in the AAR - very tough flak) and attacked mostly only on the turn of ground attacks at Truk.

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JocMeister
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RE: 1943 September 13

Post by JocMeister »

While it sucks that the Flak at Truk is murderous I´m glad flak is more potent in DBB. Especially ship flak is almost non existant in vanilla.

USS Houston fought off a complete Netty strike on her own in the Java sea. In 42. Flak was so intense the Jap pilots couldn´t get into position to drop their torps. In AE they would have scored a 80% hit rate with 2 damaged from flak! [:D]
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witpqs
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1943 September 14

Post by witpqs »

1943 September 14

The Empire captured:


The Allies captured:


There were Imperial amphibious operations at:


There were Allied amphibious operations at:


50th Indian Para Bde has arrived at Kunming, and immediately lost all supply! Stacking in the city is 92,000 vs 25,000. One problem I just ran into is that several disorganized units are not accepting movement orders. There are 2 enemy units in the hex - does that matter? Anybody know?

The two tank units will enter and pass mostly through Paoshan tomorrow. Still having trouble getting enough supply into Ledo to support the bombers and provide drop tanks for recon. The battle for the mountains of China is mostly a foot race at the moment.

The PacAO convoy has been ordered to stop loading supplies and make for Truk. That should put their landing at the day after tomorrow. Fueling continued today and will finish tomorrow for the fleet around Truk. Here is a look at the troops there.

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witpqs
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1943 September 15

Post by witpqs »

1943 September 15

The Empire captured:


The Allies captured:


There were Imperial amphibious operations at:


There were Allied amphibious operations at:


It seems the Combined Fleet is moving to the Marianas. Cabrilla got valuable Intel. Far to the AW, off of New Guinea, Barb managed to be more annoying. There are several convoys at various of the Marianas Islands.
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Sub attack near Ulithi at 98,94

Japanese Ships
CVE Unyo
DD Onami
DD Murakumo
DD Shirayuki

Allied Ships
SS Cabrilla

SS Cabrilla launches 4 torpedoes at CVE Unyo
Cabrilla diving deep ....
DD Murakumo fails to find sub and abandons search
DD Shirayuki fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Shirayuki fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Shirayuki fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Shirayuki fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Shirayuki fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Shirayuki fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sub attack near Manokwari at 85,107

Japanese Ships
DD Hayashio, Torpedo hits 1
DD Ushio
DD Minegumo

Allied Ships
SS Barb, hits 1

SS Barb launches 4 torpedoes at DD Hayashio
DD Ushio fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Minegumo attacking submerged sub ....
DD Ushio fails to find sub and abandons search
DD Minegumo fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Minegumo attacking submerged sub ....
DD Minegumo fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Minegumo fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PacAO will land tonight/tomorrow at Truk. I discovered the reason that the last landing on Truk was worse than prior ones. I had the two shore party units in reserve, and engineers only work in combat mode. I put them in reserve to keep them from being rendered useless in combat (they are need to support both supply and troop unloading). That error cost at least 70 or 80 AV, close to or perhaps the amount needed to have taken the base shortly after that landing. Here are the troops at Truk.

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witpqs
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RE: 1943 September 15

Post by witpqs »

{Shameless intervention to keep from hitting Page 2.}
[:D]
JocMeister
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RE: 1943 September 15

Post by JocMeister »

ORIGINAL: witpqs

{Shameless intervention to keep from hitting Page 2.}
[:D]

No turn? [:)]
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witpqs
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RE: 1943 September 15

Post by witpqs »

Expect one today/tonight some time. Just pesky RL getting in the way! [:)]
JocMeister
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RE: 1943 September 15

Post by JocMeister »

Hate when that happens to turn frequency. Stupid RL. [:D]
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witpqs
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1943 September 16

Post by witpqs »

1943 September 16

The Empire captured:


The Allies captured:


There were Imperial amphibious operations at:


There were Allied amphibious operations at:
Truk

Allied subs were very active, twice drawing blood from what looked like a small SCTF north of New Guinea. The remainder of that force is not seen.
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Sub attack near Manokwari at 86,105

Japanese Ships
DD Yamagumo, Torpedo hits 1, on fire, heavy damage
DD Ushio

Allied Ships
SS Sunfish, hits 1

SS Sunfish launches 2 torpedoes at DD Yamagumo
Sunfish diving deep ....
DD Ushio fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Ushio fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Ushio fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Ushio fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Ushio attacking submerged sub ....
Escort abandons search for sub


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sub attack near Manokwari at 86,105

Japanese Ships
DD Hayashio, Torpedo hits 1, heavy damage
DD Ushio

Allied Ships
SS Barb

SS Barb launches 4 torpedoes at DD Hayashio
DD Ushio fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Ushio fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Ushio fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Ushio fails to find sub, continues to search...
DD Ushio fails to find sub, continues to search...
Escort abandons search for sub


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Various Chinese units in the mountains are taking replacements as supply is in evidence here and there. Kunming is still greatly over stacked but ineffective units are moving out. Now 5 enemy units at Kunming.

Manus port is now size 7 (max), so we have that plus Kavieng size 6 (and soon Truk size 7). Hollandia is currently size 4 and will be built to size 6.

PacAO unloaded at Truk, and the assault is on for tomorrow. The operation cost us a destroyer and heavy damage to an APA that has fires=51. Other ships received lesser damage.
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Ground combat at Truk (112,108)

Japanese Bombardment attack

Attacking force 15378 troops, 208 guns, 2 vehicles, Assault Value = 363

Defending force 33354 troops, 394 guns, 588 vehicles, Assault Value = 713

Japanese ground losses:
44 casualties reported
Squads: 1 destroyed, 3 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
Guns lost 3 (2 destroyed, 1 disabled)

Allied ground losses:
26 casualties reported
Squads: 2 destroyed, 0 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled

Assaulting units:
42nd Naval Guard Unit
48th Naval Guard Unit
Guards Mixed Brigade
30th Infantry Regiment
46th Naval Guard Unit
Sasebo 5th SNLF
41st Infantry Rgt /2
4th Base Force
Truk Naval Fortress
4th Port Unit

Defending units:
3rd Marine Division
1st Marine Division
763rd Tank Battalion
762nd Tank Battalion
Otago (Mtd) Rifles Regiment
1st AmphTrac Engineer Battalion
Pacific Ocean Areas
3rd Pioneer Battalion
3rd NZ Division

Today's ship losses.

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witpqs
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RE: 1943 September 16

Post by witpqs »

Here are the troops at Truk.

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JocMeister
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RE: 1943 September 16

Post by JocMeister »

Nice to get 2 DDs like that. [:)]
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