ORIGINAL: paulderynck
ORIGINAL: Extraneous
I would prefer to have the USSR conquer Persia on turn 1.
Sure, but Persia makes a lot more sense for Japan then for Russia. Russia can conquer it, but Japan can then grab all 3 oil and DoW Russia to keep them - especially since the US probably lost an entry chit when Russia DoW'd Persia, so even giving them one back (on a lower probability) would be a wash. And then JP can start creating problems in Siberia, since they're at war anyway.
Or suppose Japan does nothing. While Russia is neutral the Persian oil is of little use to them. They have no CPs to pick up the two not on rail lines and the Wallies are not allowed to do it for them (2008 Errata). In MWiF all they can do is store the one in Bushehr and use the other each turn for the small amount of oil they use while neutral.
Of the those two choices though, I think my JP would definitely DoW Russia. The cardinal sin for JP would be to not have at least two Divs and 2 4-range CAs available in Canton or Hainan.
The best thing about a Russian controlled Persia is it gives them access to Iraq.
The problem with the USSR however, is that they are confined to combined actions and have to use the precious land moves they have to make sure that they can claim Bessarabia, move into the Baltics and Eastern Poland. There is the garrison on the border with Germany too... Apart from this they have to move the Chinese Communists with those land moves too. It isn't that easy to attack Persia, if the Japanese are doing a good job in China with making sure the Chicomms need to move or otherwise they are in big trouble.
Sure, the odd winter turn might come across (like it did in my AAR) where the USSR can attack and grab Persia, because it don't need to move Chicomm units (bad weather in Temperate, good weather in the Med). Iraq? You need to move some units before you can get a shot at that place. And if you have a bad die roll (like I had on the attack on Teheran with the USSR), losing units means that capturing Iraq will take a lot longer than expected.
The trick for the Japanese is to try to make sure that the USSR has to move Chicomms, so they can't free the 3 to 4 land moves they have to make to take Persia and later Iraq...
Going to war over Persia with the Japanese? Well, I think the Japanese land units can be put to better use in China, also because if war between the USSR and Japan breaks out, the USSR gets 5 reserve corps and the possibility to build MIL (and the Chicomms and the USSR aren't limited anymore by having to take combined actions).
Even with the US entry actions balancing due to the DoW by the USSR on Persia and a subsequent DoW by Japan on the USSR, I don't think the Japanese can take the risk of having a war in China and Manchuria happening at the same time. This also depends on the strategy chosen by the Euroaxis. Is it Barbarossa? Than I might DoW the USSR with the Japanese. If it isn't, I would not do so. Let the USSR DoW Japan instead in that case, upsetting US entry...
So is it a cardinal sin not to have two divisions on cruisers in Hainan and Canton? I believe the answer is: "only if it is a Barbarossa after France" otherwise it isn't...





