Thanks, but for the sake of argument I have to disagree still.
That first game is an aberration as you knew Pelton would do his "right hook" thing, which he had been doing in every game leading up to your match together, it may have gone differently if he had just done the standard, straight for L-grad move. I honestly think the right hook manevour is just bad, and exceptionally bad if your opponent knows your doing it.
And in that second game on turn ten the axis are at the gates of Leningrad, they only had to clear half a dozen hexes to isolate Osinovets for the standard move to take L-grad, obviously they sent the forces elsewhere, this just proves my point, if you commit to L-grad as the Axis you will take it. Flaviusx even discusses in that AAR how its impossible to hold Leningrad....
Anyway Im probably just flogging a dead horse here so I will shut up now!