Turn 13: 2-8 October 1943
The air war in Italy split into three related missions. Most of the naval air was protecting Salerno, a significant chunk of Strategic and Tactical air were carrying on bombing the Luftwaffe around Foggia. Finally some of Tactical Air were engaged in supporting 8 Army's advance up from Reggio Calabria.
In Nothern Europe, I scale back both 8 Air and Bomber Command to single raids after the losses from last turn.
Results are mixed. Bomber Command has problems hitting Germany never mind its designated target but 8 Air does serious damage to Cologne.
Hitting the Luftwaffe on the ground is starting to pay off with about 60-80 planes a week destroyed that way and overall air losses at a 2-1 ratio.
On the ground, my first attempt to shift the Germans near Catanzaro is beaten off.
However, even a single turn of relatively limited direct air strikes produced a lot of disrupted elements.
VP situation worsens a little, mainly as I have not really attacked the U-Boat production over recent turns.
It was at this stage I started to rethink my Italian strategy. I have the two most critical things – Italy is out of the war and I have enough terrain to avoid the 1944 VP penalty. Equally Corsica can both support strategic bombing of Southern Germany and possibly an invasion of Southern France.
This is relevant as my TF at Salerno is taking steady damage. In fact for T14 I forgot that you need the TF to preserve a temp port and moved it back, kindly Smokindave agreed to let me redo that portion of the turn.
So this may argue for no further commitment. On the other hand, 2 divisions at Salerno are pinning down 7 German divisions (a pretty good trade off for me), and taking Rome will give me southern Italy and all the airbases I need for a sustained strategic attack on both Germany and Romania.
I didn't need to decide for some time, in any case uncertainty is good for my opponent.
In truth, I'm finding out the hard way how different the game is PBEM as opposed to vs the AI.