OT: Corona virus
Moderators: wdolson, MOD_War-in-the-Pacific-Admirals-Edition
RE: OT: Corona virus
After reading about the effects on the residents of Newham, where so many are experiencing daily loss of family, friends and community member, I wanted to see how this compared to other areas. It will seem more difficult in cities, but might hit rural communities even harder in some areas in terms of effects to the whole community if per capita mortality rates are an indicator of the impact of suffering, as highlighted in the Guardian article on Newham.
These are from per capita mortality rates in deaths/100k.
Some data for comparison. I picked no more than two regional areas per state in the US and only included counties with more than 100/100k. This is not by any means a comprehensive picture, but something I was curious about, looking at local information. I was surprised by the severity so close to home as compared to areas much more in the spotlight.
The three worst areas in the UK are all in London:
Newham: 144.3 deaths per 100,000
Brent: 141.5
Hackney: 127.4
Italy:
Lombardy: 138.0
Val D'Osta: 109.0
Emilia-Romagna: 80.0
France:
Ille de France: 49.0
Grand Est: 52.0
Spain:
Madrid: 122.0
Castille La Mancha: 120.0
La Rioja: 104.0
The US:
NY:
NYC: 210.9
Nassau County: 155.6
NJ:
Essex County: 149.5
Union County: 124.8
GA:
Randolph County: 268 (but only 19 deaths)
Terrell County: 214.5 (but only 19 deaths)
IN:
Decatur County: 117.0
LA:
St John the Baptist: 163.0
Orleans Parish: 112.0
MI:
Wayne County: 101.3
MT:
Toole County: 121.0 (but only 6 deaths)
OK:
Greer County: 101.0 (but only 6 deaths)
These are from per capita mortality rates in deaths/100k.
Some data for comparison. I picked no more than two regional areas per state in the US and only included counties with more than 100/100k. This is not by any means a comprehensive picture, but something I was curious about, looking at local information. I was surprised by the severity so close to home as compared to areas much more in the spotlight.
The three worst areas in the UK are all in London:
Newham: 144.3 deaths per 100,000
Brent: 141.5
Hackney: 127.4
Italy:
Lombardy: 138.0
Val D'Osta: 109.0
Emilia-Romagna: 80.0
France:
Ille de France: 49.0
Grand Est: 52.0
Spain:
Madrid: 122.0
Castille La Mancha: 120.0
La Rioja: 104.0
The US:
NY:
NYC: 210.9
Nassau County: 155.6
NJ:
Essex County: 149.5
Union County: 124.8
GA:
Randolph County: 268 (but only 19 deaths)
Terrell County: 214.5 (but only 19 deaths)
IN:
Decatur County: 117.0
LA:
St John the Baptist: 163.0
Orleans Parish: 112.0
MI:
Wayne County: 101.3
MT:
Toole County: 121.0 (but only 6 deaths)
OK:
Greer County: 101.0 (but only 6 deaths)
"Success is the ability to go from one failure to another with no loss of enthusiasm." - Winston Churchill
- Cap Mandrake
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RE: OT: Corona virus
ORIGINAL: BBfanboy
Could the asthma problem decrease be related to a drop in pollution during the stay-at-home period?ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake
We now have full face shields, N-95 masks and gowns but not enough that you can throw everything away after one use. I had to make a hair covering out of a shoe covering. [:)]
Plenty of procedure masks and gloves and gel. Telehealth is surprisingly effective despite some technical snags. Still an absolutely striking fall off in asthma exacerbations. Markedly reduced minor trauma too (lacerations, concussions, extremity fractures). Going back to the main office on Monday from Fort Apache
I am pretty sure it is the reduction in OTHER viral respiratory infections

RE: OT: Corona virus
Toole county Montana. Covid-19 cases started in an assisted living center there, brought in by someone who traveled to see a patient.
There seems to be no public record of who that was or where they came from.
There seems to be no public record of who that was or where they came from.
- Canoerebel
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RE: OT: Corona virus
US mortality continues to exceed the Univ. of Washington projections each day. As of the 1st, actual mortality was about 4k higher than projected mortality (but well within the margin of error).
In Georgia, daily mortality is usually (but not always) less than projected. At the moment, the state is just a bit under overall projection, which dropped by 25% about three days ago. This is noteworthy because it was the first large state to begin easing countermeasures and may serve as a bellwether for problems or successes.
The editors at the Atlantic Monthly revised that loathsome "experiment in human sacrifice" headline a few days back. Even they realized they'd gone too far, though they didn't change it much.
In Georgia, daily mortality is usually (but not always) less than projected. At the moment, the state is just a bit under overall projection, which dropped by 25% about three days ago. This is noteworthy because it was the first large state to begin easing countermeasures and may serve as a bellwether for problems or successes.
The editors at the Atlantic Monthly revised that loathsome "experiment in human sacrifice" headline a few days back. Even they realized they'd gone too far, though they didn't change it much.
"Rats set fire to Mr. Cooper’s store in Fort Valley. No damage done." Columbus (Ga) Enquirer-Sun, October 2, 1880.
RE: OT: Corona virus
The Inevitable Coronavirus Censorship Crisis is Here
I think this article is very important and calls out much of the BS being pushed now as 'responsible' and 'necessary'.
I think this article is very important and calls out much of the BS being pushed now as 'responsible' and 'necessary'.
Intel Monkey: https://sites.google.com/view/staffmonkeys/home
RE: OT: Corona virus
ORIGINAL: witpqs
The Inevitable Coronavirus Censorship Crisis is Here
I think this article is very important and calls out much of the BS being pushed now as 'responsible' and 'necessary'.
Stage right...Lawyers! We are looking at a generational lawsuit epidemic.
https://www.sfgate.com/news/article/Fir ... 241175.php
- Cap Mandrake
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- Joined: Fri Nov 15, 2002 8:37 am
- Location: Southern California
RE: OT: Corona virus
ORIGINAL: Lowpe
ORIGINAL: witpqs
The Inevitable Coronavirus Censorship Crisis is Here
I think this article is very important and calls out much of the BS being pushed now as 'responsible' and 'necessary'.
Stage right...Lawyers! We are looking at a generational lawsuit epidemic.
https://www.sfgate.com/news/article/Fir ... 241175.php
What a nightmare. A 9-11 style protection from litigation is required. This would have to be an act of Congress. The inefficient destruction of wealth and distraction from recovery would be terrible without something like that. Of course, nothing wrong with suing CHINESE companies.[:)]

- Cap Mandrake
- Posts: 20737
- Joined: Fri Nov 15, 2002 8:37 am
- Location: Southern California
RE: OT: Corona virus
ORIGINAL: witpqs
The Inevitable Coronavirus Censorship Crisis is Here
I think this article is very important and calls out much of the BS being pushed now as 'responsible' and 'necessary'.
Wow, The Atlantic should be dumped in the Atlantic.
Perhaps, they posited, Americans could be moved to reconsider their “understanding” of the First and Fourth Amendments, as “the harms from digital speech” continue to grow, and “the social costs of a relatively open Internet multiply.”
What's to "understand"? The deliberate purpose of the First Amendment is to prevent the unnecessary regulation of speech.

-
Professor Chaos
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RE: OT: Corona virus
ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake
ORIGINAL: witpqs
The Inevitable Coronavirus Censorship Crisis is Here
I think this article is very important and calls out much of the BS being pushed now as 'responsible' and 'necessary'.
Wow, The Atlantic should be dumped in the Atlantic.
Perhaps, they posited, Americans could be moved to reconsider their “understanding” of the First and Fourth Amendments, as “the harms from digital speech” continue to grow, and “the social costs of a relatively open Internet multiply.”
What's to "understand"? The deliberate purpose of the First Amendment is to prevent the unnecessary regulation of speech.
Did you even read the original Atlantic article? It's by a conservative who's a senior fellow at the Hoover Institute and says nothing like the hit pieces claim it does.
RE: OT: Corona virus
ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake
ORIGINAL: witpqs
The Inevitable Coronavirus Censorship Crisis is Here
I think this article is very important and calls out much of the BS being pushed now as 'responsible' and 'necessary'.
Wow, The Atlantic should be dumped in the Atlantic.
Perhaps, they posited, Americans could be moved to reconsider their “understanding” of the First and Fourth Amendments, as “the harms from digital speech” continue to grow, and “the social costs of a relatively open Internet multiply.”
What's to "understand"? The deliberate purpose of the First Amendment is to prevent the unnecessary regulation of speech.
Some people have fond memories of Feudalism and want it back. Of course, they want to be the Feudal Lords.
Seek peace but keep your gun handy.
I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!
“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
; Julia Child

I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!
“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
RE: OT: Corona virus
States ordered nursing homes to take COVID-19 residents. Thousands died. How it happened
https://www.yahoo.com/news/states-order ... 09018.html
https://www.yahoo.com/news/states-order ... 09018.html
RE: OT: Corona virus
I our part of the continent, yes. But in California there is often smog from the industry and the number or vehicles on the road. Many pictures of the sun showing a weird red-orange colour during the day in LA. Not so much now that most people are staying close to home.ORIGINAL: RangerJoe
Indoor air is usually worse than outdoor air.
No matter how bad a situation is, you can always make it worse. - Chris Hadfield : An Astronaut's Guide To Life On Earth
RE: OT: Corona virus
And then there is this:
NY withheld nursing home COVID-19 details for weeks. Thousands died. Here's how secrecy impacted lives
https://www.lohud.com/story/news/corona ... 991464001/
Normally, senior homes are informally audited by concerned family and friends that visit. Often very frequently. I visit my parents four plus times a week. I know the staff, the staff know me by name. It becomes an enlarged family, at least in my case. But care is improved: I can communicate potential problems and difficulties much better than my parents, often times I see them forming.
Remove those visits and an important part of senior care is gone.
NY withheld nursing home COVID-19 details for weeks. Thousands died. Here's how secrecy impacted lives
https://www.lohud.com/story/news/corona ... 991464001/
Normally, senior homes are informally audited by concerned family and friends that visit. Often very frequently. I visit my parents four plus times a week. I know the staff, the staff know me by name. It becomes an enlarged family, at least in my case. But care is improved: I can communicate potential problems and difficulties much better than my parents, often times I see them forming.
Remove those visits and an important part of senior care is gone.
RE: OT: Corona virus
ORIGINAL: HansBolter
ORIGINAL: BBfanboy
That is why I can't agree with your statement that your institutions always treat people fairly and are only criticized (unfairly) by left wing zealots.
As always, there will be a few zealots whose unreasonable accusations spoil the reasonable cases being made by most plaintiffs.
Where in the effing hell did I make any such statement? Quote it please?
Where the EFF do you get off putting words like that in my mouth?
Maybe we should start calling you Cathy Newman....so what you're saying is.....
I'm very sorry for you that you don't seem to grasp that you just placed yourself in that zealot category you referred to.
Your paraphrasing post attempting to put words in my mouth is REPREHENSIBLE.
This is exactly the kind of treatment conservatives have come to expect from leftists.
You have earned a Green Button and a complaint to a moderator for your slander.
Here is the exchange that I was responding to. Perhaps I used different wording, but the things I understood were that you felt the institutions were fair because racial bias had been eliminated and that there were leftist elements who were pushing the narrative of unfairness:
ORIGINAL: obvert
. If you don't recognise the discriminatory history of the US in regard to black and brown Americans, the civil rights movement and the existing legacy of those institutions then it'll be hard to discuss this on the same plane.
Keyword: HISTORY as in ancient history.
Institutionalized Racism simply does not exist anymore.
Every Institution in the US has been providing special treatment to people of color and discriminating against non-people of color for somewhere around thirty years now in a misguided attempt to redress PAST discrimination.
There is no institution in the US today that could even dream of getting away with racist treatment of people of color.
That Institutionalized Racism exists in America today is a leftist fabrication.
Sooner or later you are going to have to step outside of that bubble you are living in.
_____________________________
Hans
No matter how bad a situation is, you can always make it worse. - Chris Hadfield : An Astronaut's Guide To Life On Earth
- Cap Mandrake
- Posts: 20737
- Joined: Fri Nov 15, 2002 8:37 am
- Location: Southern California
RE: OT: Corona virus
ORIGINAL: Professor Chaos
ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake
ORIGINAL: witpqs
The Inevitable Coronavirus Censorship Crisis is Here
I think this article is very important and calls out much of the BS being pushed now as 'responsible' and 'necessary'.
Wow, The Atlantic should be dumped in the Atlantic.
Perhaps, they posited, Americans could be moved to reconsider their “understanding” of the First and Fourth Amendments, as “the harms from digital speech” continue to grow, and “the social costs of a relatively open Internet multiply.”
What's to "understand"? The deliberate purpose of the First Amendment is to prevent the unnecessary regulation of speech.
Did you even read the original Atlantic article? It's by a conservative who's a senior fellow at the Hoover Institute and says nothing like the hit pieces claim it does.
Professor Chaos is right. I just read the Atlantic piece. It is a defense of internet speech. The critic of the original Atlantic piece (in the link above) essentially has everything completely 180 degrees out of phase. The original Atlantic piece does describe the PRC as "adept" but he is talking about being adept at censorship.

RE: OT: Corona virus
You guys are typing too fast for me to keep up! So I am a few pages behind [plus all of the irrelevant stuff that some continue posting such as extensively repetitive quotes, number reports and personal disagreements]. However, diligently weeding thru it all we can still find interesting stuff, such as this comment:
That is a compelling statement, and a quick check for verification on Wiki brings up this:
At 2 am on 23 January 2020, authorities issued a notice informing residents of Wuhan that from 10 am, all public transport, including buses, railways, flights, and ferry services would be suspended. The Wuhan Airport, the Wuhan railway station, and the Wuhan Metro were all closed. The residents of Wuhan were also not allowed to leave the city without permission from the authorities. The notice caused an exodus from Wuhan. An estimated 300,000 people were reported to have left Wuhan by train alone before the 10 am lockdown. By the afternoon of 23 January, the authorities began shutting down some of the major highways leaving Wuhan.
So I am curious if the poster of the above statement in quotes, or anyone else, can provide a better source concerning the allegation that China allowed international flights from Wuhan to continue, since Wiki doesn't seem to be very specific.
They banned ALL TRAVEL from Hubei province to the rest of China, but allowed international flights to continue leaving Wuhan/Hubei. That basically targeted the whole world in a very passive aggressive way.
That is a compelling statement, and a quick check for verification on Wiki brings up this:
At 2 am on 23 January 2020, authorities issued a notice informing residents of Wuhan that from 10 am, all public transport, including buses, railways, flights, and ferry services would be suspended. The Wuhan Airport, the Wuhan railway station, and the Wuhan Metro were all closed. The residents of Wuhan were also not allowed to leave the city without permission from the authorities. The notice caused an exodus from Wuhan. An estimated 300,000 people were reported to have left Wuhan by train alone before the 10 am lockdown. By the afternoon of 23 January, the authorities began shutting down some of the major highways leaving Wuhan.
So I am curious if the poster of the above statement in quotes, or anyone else, can provide a better source concerning the allegation that China allowed international flights from Wuhan to continue, since Wiki doesn't seem to be very specific.
- Canoerebel
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RE: OT: Corona virus
My wife and I spent the day canoeing the Chattooga River in northwest Georgia. I'm just now back and checking the news.
It looks like mortalities are down significantly for the US today plus for hard hit states like NY, NJ and CN (and for my state, Georgia). Likewise, good reports from Belgium, Netherlands, Spain and France. UK down a bit and Italy up, but that's probably a one-off, at this point.
Overall, trends continue to look pretty encouraging.
It looks like mortalities are down significantly for the US today plus for hard hit states like NY, NJ and CN (and for my state, Georgia). Likewise, good reports from Belgium, Netherlands, Spain and France. UK down a bit and Italy up, but that's probably a one-off, at this point.
Overall, trends continue to look pretty encouraging.
"Rats set fire to Mr. Cooper’s store in Fort Valley. No damage done." Columbus (Ga) Enquirer-Sun, October 2, 1880.
- Canoerebel
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RE: OT: Corona virus
Worldometers is beginning to offer detail information for states. To this point, four states: Louisiana, Florida, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania. Probably they'll be adding more each day.
"Rats set fire to Mr. Cooper’s store in Fort Valley. No damage done." Columbus (Ga) Enquirer-Sun, October 2, 1880.
- Cap Mandrake
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RE: OT: Corona virus
I don't think the Chinese allowed any standard flights from Wuhan when they closed the place down. The airport the trains, the buses, private autos. Everything was shut down. What they did was campaign to NOT shut down international fights from elsewhere in China even though they knew perhaps tens or hundreds of thousands had already fled Wuhan and they knew it was highly transmissible and AND they already had information that patients were becoming sick from 2 to 11 1/2 days after exposure (mean of 5.5 days).
There were 2 US chartered flights out of Wuhan but those people were properly quarantined..(maybe...the first case in California was near the AFB they were quarantined at) I think there may have been a French charter too.
Wuhan had departing international flights for about 3 weeks after there was essentially incontrovertible evidence of human to human transmission. That was really the only chance the world had of stopping the virus.
There were 2 US chartered flights out of Wuhan but those people were properly quarantined..(maybe...the first case in California was near the AFB they were quarantined at) I think there may have been a French charter too.
Wuhan had departing international flights for about 3 weeks after there was essentially incontrovertible evidence of human to human transmission. That was really the only chance the world had of stopping the virus.

RE: OT: Corona virus
ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake
I don't think the Chinese allowed any standard flights from Wuhan when they closed the place down. The airport the trains, the buses, private autos. Everything was shut down. What they did was campaign to NOT shut down international fights from elsewhere in China even though they knew perhaps tens or hundreds of thousands had already fled Wuhan and they knew it was highly transmissible.
I concur:
23 Jan - China locked Wuhan down, but an estimated 300k people left between the 2am announcement and 10am when it came into effect.
5 Feb - Australia banned non-citizens from arriving from anywhere in China for 14 days. That decision attracted heavy criticism from the Chinese embassy, but the ban was extended and other regions and countries were added to the travel ban list.
11 Mar - WHO declared a pandemic
From the summary timeline of events in this article, from the Aus perspective:
https://www.google.com.au/amp/s/7news.c ... 754914.amp
Currently playing my first PBEM, no house rules Scenario 1 as IJ.
AAR link (no SolInvictus): https://www.matrixgames.com/forums/tm.asp?m=4684655
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