(RA) IJN refloated Soulsilver (J)vs Deaniks (A)

[soulsilver]

The Allied Counter Attack

Unfortunately dean was successful at catching some prey, albeit probably not what he wanted. The cargo ships departing Port Moresby were not fast enough to get away and were attacked by a large carrier air strike resulting in the entire cargo tf being lost. The cruiser TF was fast enough to get away in time and is moving to Soerbaja to resupply before heading back to the SW Pacific.

Morning Air attack on TF, near Horn Island at 93,128

Weather in hex: Partial cloud

Raid spotted at 15 NM, estimated altitude 14,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 5 minutes

Allied aircraft
Martlet II x 4
Swordfish I x 12
F4F-3A Wildcat x 11
F4F-3 Wildcat x 10
SBC-4 Helldiver x 25
SBD-3 Dauntless x 21
TBD-1 Devastator x 23

No Allied losses

Japanese Ships
xAK Genzan Maru, Bomb hits 1, Torpedo hits 1, heavy fires, heavy damage
xAK Kinkasan Maru, Bomb hits 5, heavy fires, heavy damage
xAK Kinsyu Maru, Bomb hits 3, Torpedo hits 3, and is sunk
PB Nagato Maru, Bomb hits 7, and is sunk
xAK Borneo Maru, Bomb hits 5, heavy fires, heavy damage
PB Takuna Maru #6, Bomb hits 2, and is sunk
xAK Zuiko Maru, Bomb hits 2, heavy fires, heavy damage
xAK Hague Maru, Bomb hits 4, heavy fires, heavy damage
xAK Daisin Maru, Bomb hits 6, heavy fires, heavy damage

The CAP trap I had laid at Port moresby was successful in drawing away some SBD3s to be shot down.

Morning Air attack on TF, near Port Moresby at 98,130

Weather in hex: Heavy cloud

Raid spotted at 19 NM, estimated altitude 13,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 7 minutes

Japanese aircraft
Ki-43-Ic Oscar x 25

Allied aircraft
F4F-4 Wildcat x 11
SBD-3 Dauntless x 14

No Japanese losses

Allied aircraft losses
F4F-4 Wildcat: 1 destroyed
SBD-3 Dauntless: 4 destroyed, 2 damaged

Japanese Ships
xAK Nanrei Maru, Bomb hits 2, heavy fires, heavy damage

Over all losses for the day were 47:63 (J:A) with air to air loses favoring the allies 34:16 (j:A)

[PaxMondo]

ORIGINAL: soulsilver

Ok I have a question for you guys, im currently trying to convert the CS chitose to a CVL It has no damage and is disbanded in Nagasaki which has a sufficiently large dockyard. furthermore I have the ship set yes to upgrade.... not sure what my problem is.

CS must be done in Tokyo. Its a special conversion that must be done in your capital.

[PaxMondo]

Great AAR going so far. My only comment is to not expend too much on defenses on the outer areas of the empire. Just as now for the IJ KB, when the allied Death Star is formed, there is no target that they cannot subdue. They do not have to take everything, only what they want and isolate everything else. The trick in the late mid-game for the IJ is to know when to start voluntarily contracting her empire.

Sure you resist in the Mariana's at least somewhat, but it isn't the best place for a major stand. Force him also to nuetralize Babeldoab and Iwo, both are G3M3 range to Mariana's, both of those locations are far better to stage a fight at ... etc. You pretty much know where he wants to go, think that through and be ready. Don't waste supply on places that cannot be held. SPend some for sure, but just remember every ton you spend will NOT be there in the HI later ... taking a lot of atolls up to level 3 forts that will never be defended adequately because either you withdraw OR the allies simply isolate is a waste of supply ...

[soulsilver]

ORIGINAL: PaxMondo

Great AAR going so far. My only comment is to not expend too much on defenses on the outer areas of the empire. Just as now for the IJ KB, when the allied Death Star is formed, there is no target that they cannot subdue. They do not have to take everything, only what they want and isolate everything else. The trick in the late mid-game for the IJ is to know when to start voluntarily contracting her empire.

Sure you resist in the Mariana's at least somewhat, but it isn't the best place for a major stand. Force him also to nuetralize Babeldoab and Iwo, both are G3M3 range to Mariana's, both of those locations are far better to stage a fight at ... etc. You pretty much know where he wants to go, think that through and be ready. Don't waste supply on places that cannot be held. SPend some for sure, but just remember every ton you spend will NOT be there in the HI later ... taking a lot of atolls up to level 3 forts that will never be defended adequately because either you withdraw OR the allies simply isolate is a waste of supply ...

Thank you for the input Pax I've put a great deal of thought into fortifying regions in the 2nd line of defense Around truk and Saipan. My comprehensive defense of the Solomon islands area is not representative of my defenses everywhere. Base building in the Gilberts for instance is quite modest in comparison, with 2 SNLF guards and some engineers to build forts. In the marshals I have a single SNLF defending Maleolap, along with some flying boats. I'm fortifying the Solomon Islands area so heavily because I highly suspect my opponent will attempt to counter attack here in a couple of months, and due to Deans apparent interest in the area. The death star has been at Sydney most of the game, and he has a large majority of his subs in this area. On top of this hes raided the area with his carriers twice now in the space of about a month. Overall my plan is to initially conduct a forward defense to prevent territorial losses in 42 before switching to defense in depth by 43. The Truk and Saipan areas are already being fortified, but I have not given much thought to Babeldaob. I'll move a engineer unit there in a week to help build up the base.

[soulsilver]

ORIGINAL: PaxMondo

ORIGINAL: soulsilver

Ok I have a question for you guys, im currently trying to convert the CS chitose to a CVL It has no damage and is disbanded in Nagasaki which has a sufficiently large dockyard. furthermore I have the ship set yes to upgrade.... not sure what my problem is.

CS must be done in Tokyo. Its a special conversion that must be done in your capital.

Shes already in the Tokyo Shipyard and has been for about 2 week now [:D]. She wont be done her conversion for another 280 ish days tho.

[soulsilver]

Battle of the Torres straight Round 2. May 16th

The death star attempts to retire south, but only moves around 3-4 tiles southwest so the carriers are still well within range of LBA. First strike launched from Port Moresby goes about as well as yesterday with the G3M2s all being either damaged and forced to abort the attack or shot down. Dean is less lucky in follow up strikes.


Morning Air attack on TF, near Port Moresby at 96,135

Weather in hex: Heavy rain

Raid detected at 74 NM, estimated altitude 15,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 29 minutes

Japanese aircraft
A6M3b Zero x 12
G3M2 Nell x 15
Ki-43-Ic Oscar x 36

Allied aircraft
Martlet II x 9
F4F-3A Wildcat x 19
F4F-3 Wildcat x 7
F4F-4 Wildcat x 3

Japanese aircraft losses
G3M2 Nell: 5 destroyed
Ki-43-Ic Oscar: 1 destroyed

Allied aircraft losses
Martlet II: 1 destroyed
F4F-3A Wildcat: 1 destroyed

The next much smaller strike from Port Moresby pierces the cap and lands a hit on CV enterprise.

Morning Air attack on TF, near Port Moresby at 96,135

Weather in hex: Heavy rain

Raid detected at 57 NM, estimated altitude 15,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 24 minutes

Japanese aircraft
A6M3b Zero x 6
B5N2 Kate x 9

Allied aircraft
Martlet II x 3
F4F-3A Wildcat x 13
F4F-3 Wildcat x 5
F4F-4 Wildcat x 2

Japanese aircraft losses
A6M3b Zero: 1 destroyed
B5N2 Kate: 3 destroyed, 2 damaged
B5N2 Kate: 1 destroyed by flak

Allied aircraft losses
Martlet II: 1 destroyed

Allied Ships
CL Birmingham
CV Enterprise, Torpedo hits 1

Next the A team from Woodlark comes in and scores a hit on the Illustrious which sets her ablaze.

Morning Air attack on TF, near Port Moresby at 96,135

Weather in hex: Heavy rain

Raid detected at 75 NM, estimated altitude 12,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 26 minutes

Japanese aircraft
A6M2 Zero x 47
G4M1 Betty x 18

Allied aircraft
Martlet II x 1
F4F-3A Wildcat x 7
F4F-3 Wildcat x 5

Japanese aircraft losses
A6M2 Zero: 1 destroyed
G4M1 Betty: 7 damaged
G4M1 Betty: 1 destroyed by flak

Allied aircraft losses
F4F-3 Wildcat: 2 destroyed

Allied Ships
CV Illustrious, Torpedo hits 1, on fire
CVL Charlotte
CV Hornet, heavy damage
CV Enterprise

Part of the previous strike got separated from the main body and launched a second strike just after scoring another hit on enterprise and Illustrious.

Morning Air attack on TF, near Port Moresby at 96,135

Weather in hex: Heavy rain

Raid detected at 43 NM, estimated altitude 11,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 15 minutes

Japanese aircraft
A6M2 Zero x 10
G4M1 Betty x 9

Allied aircraft
F4F-3A Wildcat x 5
F4F-3 Wildcat x 1

Japanese aircraft losses
G4M1 Betty: 8 damaged

No Allied losses

Allied Ships
CV Enterprise, Torpedo hits 1
CV Illustrious, Torpedo hits 1, on fire, heavy damage

The last strike of the day is conducted by stranglers coming from Port Moresby which achieves a hit on the heavy cruiser Devonshire.

Afternoon Air attack on TF, near Port Moresby at 96,135

Weather in hex: Severe storms

Raid detected at 76 NM, estimated altitude 14,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 30 minutes

Japanese aircraft
A6M3b Zero x 4
G3M2 Nell x 6
Ki-43-Ic Oscar x 5

Allied aircraft
F4F-3A Wildcat x 2

Japanese aircraft losses
G3M2 Nell: 4 damaged
Ki-43-Ic Oscar: 1 destroyed

No Allied losses

Allied Ships
CVL Charlotte
CA Devonshire, Torpedo hits 1

[John 3rd]

I haven't been on the Forum for quite some time. Nice to see RA getting a spin. Hope you and your opponent enjoy yourselves!

[soulsilver]

ORIGINAL: John 3rd

I haven't been on the Forum for quite some time. Nice to see RA getting a spin. Hope you and your opponent enjoy yourselves!

Thanks for dropping by John, I've read parts of your AAR vs Anarcho, and quite enjoyed it. Best wishes and BANZAI!!!!

[soulsilver]

Battle of the Torres Straight Part 3, May 17th

The third day of the battle is a dark day for dean, The first strike of 9 Kates take heavy losses but succeed in scoring a hit on the Illustrious.

Morning Air attack on TF, near Cooktown at 94,136

Weather in hex: Partial cloud

Raid detected at 79 NM, estimated altitude 12,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 27 minutes

Japanese aircraft
A6M3b Zero x 7
B5N1 Kate x 9
Ki-43-Ic Oscar x 7

Allied aircraft
F4F-3A Wildcat x 6
F4F-3 Wildcat x 1
F4F-4 Wildcat x 2

Japanese aircraft losses
A6M3b Zero: 1 destroyed
B5N1 Kate: 3 destroyed, 1 damaged
B5N1 Kate: 1 destroyed by flak

Allied aircraft losses
F4F-3A Wildcat: 1 destroyed

Allied Ships
CV Illustrious, Torpedo hits 1, heavy damage

The 2nd strike of the day was the real jaw clincher for dean's With a strike of 3 Kates and 6 Nells scoring 5 hits on dean carriers.

Morning Air attack on TF, near Cooktown at 94,136

Weather in hex: Partial cloud

Raid detected at 63 NM, estimated altitude 12,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 24 minutes

Japanese aircraft
A6M3b Zero x 14
B5N2 Kate x 3
G3M2 Nell x 6
Ki-43-Ic Oscar x 8

Allied aircraft
F4F-3A Wildcat x 3
F4F-3 Wildcat x 1
F4F-4 Wildcat x 2

Japanese aircraft losses
B5N2 Kate: 1 destroyed, 1 damaged
G3M2 Nell: 1 damaged
G3M2 Nell: 1 destroyed by flak

No Allied losses

Allied Ships
CV Illustrious, Torpedo hits 1, and is sunk
CV Enterprise, Torpedo hits 2, on fire, heavy damage
CV Hornet, Torpedo hits 2, heavy damage

A later strike of 2 Kates achieved no further hits for today, but I'm pretty happy with my LBA air units in the Solomons who thus far have achieved spectacular results.
Hornet and Enterprise have taken 4 and 5 torpedo hits respectively and will likely take 4-6 months to repair if they get away at all.

[soulsilver]

May 18th

today the land based bombers at Woodlark and Port Moresby were unable to find their target despite, dean's carriers being spotted and well within range of escorted attack. Bad weather helped cover dean's retreat which is nearing Townsville Australia. I'll probably have one more shot at the carriers before they are out of range of escort.

[soulsilver]

May 19th

Today a sweep of Madras didn't go well for me. I'll hold off sweeping for the time being.

Morning Air attack on Madras , at 35,40

Weather in hex: Light cloud

Raid spotted at 37 NM, estimated altitude 19,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 12 minutes

Japanese aircraft
Ki-43-Ic Oscar x 29

Allied aircraft
P-39D Airacobra x 15
P-400 Airacobra x 5
P-40E Warhawk x 4
F4F-3 Wildcat x 7

Japanese aircraft losses
Ki-43-Ic Oscar: 7 destroyed

Allied aircraft losses
P-39D Airacobra: 2 destroyed
P-400 Airacobra: 1 destroyed

In the SW pacific 11 bombers located the Hornet and put a final torpedo in her, sinking her outright. Enterprise is heavily damaged and will be out of action for at least 4 months, and formidable was hit by 2 torpedos two weeks ago.Yorktown was hit by a torpedo during dean's last sortie into the Rabual area but is probably fixed by now. Right now the only operational carriers that dean has left is the Hermes,possibly yorktown and the CVL Charlotte.... After this debacle I doubt dean is gonna try and raid here again, and I doubt hes gonna try and launch any large amphibious operations any time soon. Some LCUs I had headed to the area will be diverted to India.

Morning Air attack on TF, near Cooktown at 94,137

Weather in hex: Moderate rain

Raid detected at 79 NM, estimated altitude 12,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 27 minutes

Japanese aircraft
A6M2 Zero x 20
A6M3b Zero x 8
G3M2 Nell x 3
G4M1 Betty x 8

Allied aircraft
F4F-3A Wildcat x 1
F4F-4 Wildcat x 1

Japanese aircraft losses
G3M2 Nell: 1 damaged
G4M1 Betty: 2 damaged
G4M1 Betty: 1 destroyed by flak

No Allied losses

Allied Ships
CV Hornet, Torpedo hits 1, and is sunk
DD Mugford
DD Ralph Talbot

In south India Dean is on the attack despite only having similar force ratios to what I have. He hasn't concentrated his forces either so I wonder how he intends to make any progress. The vanguard of his attack is a armoured Brigade that got smashed today.

Ground combat at 31,39 (near Salem)

Japanese Deliberate attack

Attacking force 384 troops, 0 guns, 71 vehicles, Assault Value = 40

Defending force 432 troops, 0 guns, 40 vehicles, Assault Value = 53

Japanese adjusted assault: 41

Allied adjusted defense: 10

Japanese assault odds: 4 to 1

Combat modifiers
Defender: leaders(+), experience(-)
Attacker: leaders(+)

Allied ground losses:
90 casualties reported
Squads: 3 destroyed, 3 disabled
Non Combat: 3 destroyed, 2 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
Vehicles lost 23 (8 destroyed, 15 disabled)
Units retreated 1

Defeated Allied Units Retreating!

Assaulting units:
6th Tank Regiment

Defending units:
50th Tank Brigade

[soulsilver]

May 21st

Enterprise has escaped with her life but wont be coming back anytime soon. Since I don't have much to fear regarding the allied carrier force I am going to raid the Karachi area with Carrier Division 1 and 4 while Hiryu and her sister and the two Shokaku sisters Upgrade in Singapore and Hiroshima respectively. I'm aware that I dont need to send the Shokaku class sisters back to japan, but I want to resize some training air groups, and upgrades are a good excuse to return to japan. In India Dean continues to infringe on my rightful liberation of southern India and is attempting unsuccessfully to encircle me but today he got a bloody noes while attempting a river crossing with the 40th Division.

Ground combat at Salem (32,39)

Allied Shock attack

Attacking force 11068 troops, 183 guns, 84 vehicles, Assault Value = 347

Defending force 18530 troops, 188 guns, 96 vehicles, Assault Value = 477

Allied adjusted assault: 300

Japanese adjusted defense: 1141

Allied assault odds: 1 to 3 (fort level 0)

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), op mode(-), leaders(+), preparation(-)
Attacker: shock(+), disruption(-)

Japanese ground losses:
118 casualties reported
Squads: 0 destroyed, 13 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled

Allied ground losses:
772 casualties reported
Squads: 4 destroyed, 118 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 10 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 5 disabled
Guns lost 6 (2 destroyed, 4 disabled)

Assaulting units:
40th Infantry Division

Defending units:
53rd Division
1st Para Assault Division
15th Army

In China I clapped a Chinese Corps to get it out of the way, but will head to Siangtang right beside Changsha to secure my supply route north. I haven't posted a picture of China or India in a while so I promise to do so tomorrow.

Ground combat at 78,51 (near Chihkiang)

Japanese Deliberate attack

Attacking force 67683 troops, 501 guns, 552 vehicles, Assault Value = 2160

Defending force 9770 troops, 38 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 234

Japanese adjusted assault: 1417

Allied adjusted defense: 106

Japanese assault odds: 13 to 1

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), leaders(+), fatigue(-), experience(-)
Attacker:

Japanese ground losses:
705 casualties reported
Squads: 10 destroyed, 52 disabled
Non Combat: 1 destroyed, 18 disabled
Engineers: 1 destroyed, 7 disabled
Guns lost 8 (4 destroyed, 4 disabled)
Vehicles lost 20 (3 destroyed, 17 disabled)

Allied ground losses:
2408 casualties reported
Squads: 119 destroyed, 85 disabled
Non Combat: 116 destroyed, 0 disabled
Engineers: 4 destroyed, 8 disabled
Guns lost 10 (2 destroyed, 8 disabled)
Units retreated 1

Defeated Allied Units Retreating!

Up in The aluetians Dean has been bombing Adak which is being contested by 27 Zeros who are having a hard time doing anything. Im moving a group of 12 Nicks up here to help.

Morning Air attack on Adak Island , at 162,52

Weather in hex: Heavy cloud

Raid spotted at 16 NM, estimated altitude 15,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 4 minutes

Japanese aircraft
A6M2 Zero x 10

Allied aircraft
B-17E Fortress x 5

Japanese aircraft losses
A6M2 Zero: 1 destroyed
A6M2 Zero: 1 destroyed on ground

Allied aircraft losses
B-17E Fortress: 4 damaged

Airbase hits 1
Runway hits 1

[Evoken]

So 2 Carriers sunk and rest are crippled , congratz [&o]. Did you get confirmation on any other carriers with air losses and such ?
And since they are crippled i imagine they cant go far , bring all of your carriers together and raid Sydney and Melbourne [:D]

[soulsilver]

ORIGINAL: Evoken

So 2 Carriers sunk and rest are crippled , congratz [&o]. Did you get confirmation on any other carriers with air losses and such ?
And since they are crippled i imagine they cant go far , bring all of your carriers together and raid Sydney and Melbourne [:D]

As far as I can tell only enterprise, illustrious and hornet were part of the TF and No additional ground loses of carrier planes was spotted in the air casualties. In regard to your suggestion to raid Melbourne, me and my opponent know each other pretty well as we have been opponents of each other since we both started playing the game around christmas this year. This not the first time I've killed most or all of Dean's carriers and I know that dean is prone to conceding after experiencing sudden carrier loss syndrome and I would rather continue the game. I've never played a game past turn 180 ish and I would like to take this game at least into 43. So I'm not keen to just end the game by raiding Melbourne and Sydney. Hence I'm going to show an odd degree of mercy in this regard.

[soulsilver]

Ok I promised pictures and here they are, Ill start with Northern India.

[RangerJoe]

Well, he needs to learn that the Allies can come back after losing the carriers. Either that, or not have them go into Harm's Way.

[soulsilver]

May 24th

not a ton happened the past few days in between posting but today was an auspicious day in Northern India. Dean had largely abandoned Jamshedpur the day before which was taken with little opposition and today Howra capitulated as well. Deans 3 Divisions which retreated east of Jamshedpur now have no where to run, other than southwest which will shortly be cut off by my tanks, as well as the 18th, 5, and 33rd Divisions. They are in effect dead meat. The loss of 3 Divisions should allow me to take Calcutta fairly easily. Combined with the debacle for dean in the south and the allies are having a bad day in India for sure.

Ground combat at Howrah (52,36)

Japanese Deliberate attack

Attacking force 28062 troops, 239 guns, 56 vehicles, Assault Value = 886

Defending force 4656 troops, 40 guns, 51 vehicles, Assault Value = 25

Japanese engineers reduce fortifications to 3

Japanese adjusted assault: 635

Allied adjusted defense: 75

Japanese assault odds: 8 to 1 (fort level 3)

Japanese forces CAPTURE Howrah !!!

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), forts(+), experience(-)
Attacker:

Japanese ground losses:
73 casualties reported
Squads: 0 destroyed, 11 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled

Allied ground losses:
2199 casualties reported
Squads: 9 destroyed, 2 disabled
Non Combat: 125 destroyed, 24 disabled
Engineers: 67 destroyed, 1 disabled
Guns lost 19 (16 destroyed, 3 disabled)
Vehicles lost 38 (37 destroyed, 1 disabled)
Units retreated 4
Units destroyed 1

In southern India today I launched sweeps against Madras and traded evenly. Dean must have put high quality pilots into these units as I'm having a hard time for once.

Morning Air attack on Madras , at 35,40

Weather in hex: Partial cloud

Raid detected at 46 NM, estimated altitude 24,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 15 minutes

Japanese aircraft
A6M2 Zero x 40

Allied aircraft
P-39D Airacobra x 13
P-400 Airacobra x 8
P-40E Warhawk x 22
F4F-3 Wildcat x 5

Japanese aircraft losses
A6M2 Zero: 5 destroyed

Allied aircraft losses
P-39D Airacobra: 2 destroyed
P-400 Airacobra: 1 destroyed
P-40E Warhawk: 2 destroyed
F4F-3 Wildcat: 1 destroyed

In china dean tried to attack me in rough forest terrain again and met with predictable results.

Allied Deliberate attack

Attacking force 8204 troops, 55 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 1431

Defending force 25369 troops, 208 guns, 48 vehicles, Assault Value = 707

Allied adjusted assault: 17

Japanese adjusted defense: 2116

Allied assault odds: 1 to 124

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), leaders(+), fatigue(-), experience(-)
Attacker:

Japanese ground losses:
48 casualties reported
Squads: 0 destroyed, 4 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled

Allied ground losses:
1668 casualties reported
Squads: 12 destroyed, 205 disabled
Non Combat: 2 destroyed, 15 disabled
Engineers: 1 destroyed, 7 disabled

Assaulting units:
78th Chinese Corps
75th Chinese Corps
68th Chinese Corps
63rd Chinese Corps
3rd New Chinese Corps

Defending units:
39th Division
27th Division

[soulsilver]

Ok here a picture of China since I have not posted one for a while

[soulsilver]

ORIGINAL: RangerJoe

Well, he needs to learn that the Allies can come back after losing the carriers. Either that, or not have them go into Harm's Way.

Dean has a problem with sending carriers where they should not be. Hes lost his carriers in largely the same spot, off the coast of Australia in previous games without learning his lesson.

[RangerJoe]

ORIGINAL: soulsilver

ORIGINAL: RangerJoe

Well, he needs to learn that the Allies can come back after losing the carriers. Either that, or not have them go into Harm's Way.

Dean has a problem with sending carriers where they should not be. Hes lost his carriers in largely the same spot, off the coast of Australia in previous games without learning his lesson.

[:-]