By the Numbers: Another Solo Global War AAR

[rkr1958]

Turn 15. Jan/Feb 1942. Japanese/Soviet Non-Aggression Pact.

Allied #1: 3rd Siberians railed out of Manchuria west to Krasnoyarsk, USSR. The USSR needs to rail a division into the pact area as soon as they can accomplish this. By the way, the I-16 in Vladivostok was returned back to the force pool by the Soviets at the start of the turn.

Allied #5: The Soviets FINALLY had a div in position to rail to Asia, which brings them in 100% compliance with their pact garrison requirements. It's been a long time coming due to poor planning on the Soviets part and this rail prevented them from railing out the blue factory in Kalinin. Hopefully the Soviets will get an opportunity to get that factory East before it's too late.

Allied #8: Zhukov HQ-A finally railed as far west as 1 rail move takes him.

[rkr1958]

Turn 15. Jan/Feb 1942. The Eastern Front. Combat Logs.

[rkr1958]

Turn 15. Jan/Feb 1942. The Eastern Front. Allied #1. End of Impulse.

Blue factory in Tula railed east to Novosibirsk.

[rkr1958]

Turn 15. Jan/Feb 1942. The Eastern Front. Axis #3. End of Impulse.

[rkr1958]

Turn 15. Jan/Feb 1942. The Eastern Front. Allied #5. End of Impulse.

The Soviets FINALLY had a div in position to rail to Asia, which brings them in 100% compliance with their pact garrison requirements. It's been a long time coming due to poor planning on the Soviets part and this rail prevented them from railing out the blue factory in Kalinin. Hopefully the Soviets will get an opportunity to get that factory East before it's too late.

[rkr1958]

Turn 15. Jan/Feb 1942. The Eastern Front. Axis #8. End of Impulse.

German Action Choice: Adm Rader is pushing for a naval and Gross Adm Donitz for a combine (at a minimum). However, the land situation on the Eastern Front takes priority even with blizzard in the arctic and snow in the north temperate a land action is indicated and will be taken by Germany.

[rkr1958]

Turn 15. Jan/Feb 1942. The Eastern Front. Allied #11. End of Impulse.

1. Kalinin blue factory railed to Karaganda.
2. If this turn doesn't end (50/50 that it will) then Stalingrad and the blue factory within will be German.
3. EOT D10=1, turn ends! Stalingrad saved, for now.

[rkr1958]

Turn 15. Jan/Feb 1942. Destroyed.

[rkr1958]

Turn 15. Jan/Feb 1942. Repair.

[rkr1958]

Turn 15. Jan/Feb 1942. Partisans.

5 countries check for partisans: (1) CHI=7 (1 partisan), (2) NEI=92 (no), (3) BUR=54 (no), (4) YUG=52 (no) and (5) FIC=99 (no).

Chinese partisans deny Japan a Chinese RP.

[rkr1958]

Turn 15. Jan/Feb 1942. US Entry.

1. Prior: GE/IT=42/30 (30% DOW Success) & JPN=38/29 (30%). US gets 2 draws.
2. 1st draw, GE/IT=4-val. GE/IT=48/30 (60%) & JPN=40/29 (40%).
3. 2nd draw, JPN=3-val. GE/IT=50/30 (70%) & JPN=45/29 (70%).
3. The US reaches the trigger point for both Germany/Italy and Japan to DOW the US.
4. If the allies move first then the US, starting with Germany/Italy, the allies will check to see if they attempt a DOW.
5. If D10 <= DOW %/10 then they will attempt. If they succeed at DOW on Germany/Italy or don't make the attempt then they will check to see if they attempt DOW on Japan.
6. Going to get interesting.

[rkr1958]

Turn 15. Jan/Feb 1942. Economics.

[rkr1958]

Turn 15. Jan/Feb 1942. Build Spiral. Axis.

[rkr1958]

Turn 15. Jan/Feb 1942. Build Spiral. Allied.

[rkr1958]

Turn 15. Jan/Feb 1942. Global Map. Control.

[rkr1958]

Turn 15. Jan/Feb 1942. Global Map. Units.

[rkr1958]

Turn 15. Jan/Feb 1942. Global Map. Active Axis.

[rkr1958]

Turn 15. Jan/Feb 1942. Global Map. Active Allied.

[rkr1958]

Turn 15. Jan/Feb 1942. Victory Totals.

[Courtenay]

ORIGINAL: rkr1958

Turn 15. Jan/Feb 1942. US Entry.

1. Prior: GE/IT=42/30 (30% DOW Success) & JPN=38/29 (30%). US gets 2 draws.
2. 1st draw, GE/IT=4-val. GE/IT=48/30 (60%) & JPN=40/29 (40%).
3. 2nd draw, JPN=3-val. GE/IT=50/30 (70%) & JPN=45/29 (70%).
3. The US reaches the trigger point for both Germany/Italy and Japan to DOW the US.
4. If the allies move first then the US, starting with Germany/Italy, the allies will check to see if they attempt a DOW.
5. If D10 <= DOW %/10 then they will attempt. If they succeed at DOW on Germany/Italy or don't make the attempt then they will check to see if they attempt DOW on Japan.
6. Going to get interesting.

That #5 is very conservative. If the US has a 70% chance, they should take it, because their odds really can't improve very much. 60% is pretty good, too. 50% is dubious.