A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post descriptions of your brilliant victories and unfortunate defeats here.

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M Peaston
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Re: A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post by M Peaston »

6th April 1942


INDIA/BURMA

AVG tangled with Japanese Oscars, Tojos and Sallys over Toungoo, losing two fighters without causing any loss to the Japanese.


ABDA

The Japanese show their hand, as the invasion fleet heads to Semarang. The brave Buffalo pilots sacrifice themselves to allow the bombers a clear run at the transports - it brings a tear to one’s eye - but their sacrifices were in vain as apart from the Stringbags the bomber pilots couldn’t hit a cow’s backside with a banjo. Admittedly the weather (thunderstorms) didn’t help. Stringbags scored a torpedo hit each on LSD Shinshu Maru and xAP Manzyu Maru, and although Shinshu Maru shows up on the intel screen as sunk I don’t believe either actually sank.

I expected the Japanese landings to be successful, and I expected the Allied air forces to suffer horrible losses, but I was rather hoping to cause a bit more damage to Japanese shipping in the process. Oh well. I’ll try something different tomorrow.

At least I understand now why the Japanese didn’t seek to establish air superiority over Java before their invasion. There really was no need to bother….


SWPAC/SOPAC

It’s all quiet here again today; KB is reported to be still at Rabaul. Maybe KB’s foray into the Coral Sea was meant to be a diversion for the Java invasion?

The buildup in Australia continues; a convoy with 4 AA regiments, 2 construction regiments and an Air BF arrives at Melbourne.

Plans are afoot to occupy Milne Bay in force.


SUBMARINE WARFARE

Sailfish hit xAK Toko Maru with a dud torpedo just off Japan.


Today's air losses. Allied bomber losses were quite light in the circumstances.
Air losses Semarang.png
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dpt182
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Re: A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post by dpt182 »

M Peaston wrote: Mon Mar 06, 2023 12:56 pm Talking about the painting of Submarines, as an aid for my search pilots (who do not seem to be particularly skilled in ship recognition) I’m in the process of colour-coding all Allied subs. All USN subs will be painted pink in honour of the exploits of USS Sea Tiger. There’s no need for a yellow submarine to pick up MacArthur - he is already in Darwin - but at the behest of another Macca and his chums all RN subs will be Yellow Submarines, Yellow Submarines. I’m not sure about the Dutch subs, the best I could come up with is Shocking Blue. I’ll see if Fokko has any suggestions.
Dutch submarines should be Orange
dpt182
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Re: A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post by dpt182 »

M Peaston wrote: Thu Jun 26, 2025 12:21 pm 6th April 1942
Hi,

thank you for providing this entertaining AAR, rather conveniently you adopted the same strategy I have in my game against the computer, although the computer doesn't seem bothered about it's flanks and is doing better, I have only reached 10 March '42. Singapore and Bataan fall far to easily in my opinion, both fell earlier than you, but I didn't realise the importance of holding Manila and adopted the historic strategy. I also think Perceval, the Burma commander & Tom Phillips, the Force Z commander have rather dismal admin ratings for professional staff officers.

I can't actually find this scenario in my list and I seem to have the latest version...

David
M Peaston
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Re: A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post by M Peaston »

dpt182 wrote: Wed Jul 02, 2025 2:14 pm
M Peaston wrote: Thu Jun 26, 2025 12:21 pm 6th April 1942
Hi,

thank you for providing this entertaining AAR, rather conveniently you adopted the same strategy I have in my game against the computer, although the computer doesn't seem bothered about it's flanks and is doing better, I have only reached 10 March '42. Singapore and Bataan fall far to easily in my opinion, both fell earlier than you, but I didn't realise the importance of holding Manila and adopted the historic strategy. I also think Perceval, the Burma commander & Tom Phillips, the Force Z commander have rather dismal admin ratings for professional staff officers.

I can't actually find this scenario in my list and I seem to have the latest version...

David

Hi David, thank you for your comments and I’m pleased you’ve enjoyed it so far - it’s certainly been good fun to write; I just wish I had a bit more time to devote to it and this game generally. This is turning out to be a very slow-paced game, so I think you’ll soon be overtaking me in your game! Defending Manila worked out okay for me, but I don’t think my opponent was too concerned with overrunning Luzon quickly (at least I haven’t seen much evidence of the forces he used being redeployed), so it may not have mattered too much which plan I adopted.

I agree with you, the Admin ratings are harsh - especially for Percival who was apparently well-respected as a Staff Officer. Personally I think Percival has been generally treated rather harshly by history; I don’t think he was any better or worse than many other senior British officers.

You won’t find this scenario in the list; this isn’t an ‘official’ scenario but a Mod created by LargeSlowTarget; you can find it in the ‘Scenario Design and Modding’ section.
M Peaston
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Re: A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post by M Peaston »

dpt182 wrote: Thu Jun 26, 2025 12:42 pm
M Peaston wrote: Mon Mar 06, 2023 12:56 pm Talking about the painting of Submarines, as an aid for my search pilots (who do not seem to be particularly skilled in ship recognition) I’m in the process of colour-coding all Allied subs. All USN subs will be painted pink in honour of the exploits of USS Sea Tiger. There’s no need for a yellow submarine to pick up MacArthur - he is already in Darwin - but at the behest of another Macca and his chums all RN subs will be Yellow Submarines, Yellow Submarines. I’m not sure about the Dutch subs, the best I could come up with is Shocking Blue. I’ll see if Fokko has any suggestions.
Dutch submarines should be Orange

Shocking Blue - a Dutch band from the 60s and 70s.
M Peaston
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Re: A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post by M Peaston »

7th April 1942




ABDA

Four RN Light Cruisers bombed Oosthaven, followed up with raids on the airbase there by Dutch L212 bombers and a Flight of Wirraways. Damage was minimal. In return the Japanese launched a rare night-raid on the Allied airbase at Batavia followed up by some daytime fighter sweeps, and also achieved very little.

At Semarang the Imperial Guards Division landed ashore. Allied air attacks on Japanese ships at Semarang failed to score a single hit: 10 bombers (including 3 Vildebeests) were lost.

Now that the Japanese have landed at Semarang I think I can now sweep the hex - I’m not sure, but I’ll give it a try anyway.

What appears to be Mini KB has appeared just north of Ambon. Repulse and two RN Heavy Cruisers are covering Allied landings at Babar and Saumlaki; they’ve been ordered north to try and force a surface engagement on the Japanese TF. It might be a trap - luring the RN warships to where they can be hammered by land-based and carrier-based bombers, but if they are Japanese carriers there then it is just too tempting a target to ignore. I've ordered a squadron of Dutch Hurricanes to Ambon, and some Fighter Blenheims to Saumlaki, to try and provide Repulse with some air cover.

Japanese BBs and/or CAs have entered the Makassar strait; Dutch Torpedo boats at Balikpapan have been ordered out to attack - again, it’s just too tempting.



SWPAC/SOPAC

A Japanese force of unknown composition has landed at Gasmata on New Britain, Marauders hit one the APDs.

A reinforcement convoy has arrived at Melbourne with four US AA Rgts, 2 Construction Rgts and an Air BF. The AA units have been allocated to Port Hedland, Port Moresby, Tulagi, Luganville and Suva ( I realise that’s four units among five widely separated locations….I’ll figure something out….) the construction regiments will probably go to Katherine and Cairns, I haven’t decided yet about the air BF.
M Peaston
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Re: A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post by M Peaston »

I think there's going to be plenty of action in the DEI tomorrow!
Java Invasion.png
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dpt182
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Re: A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post by dpt182 »

M Peaston wrote: Sat Jul 05, 2025 10:41 pm Shocking Blue - a Dutch band from the 60s and 70s.
I hadn't heard of them, when I was it school it was King Crimson (Fripp the best guitarist I've seen), Led Zep & of course Purple.
David
M Peaston
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Re: A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post by M Peaston »

dpt182 wrote: Sun Jul 06, 2025 5:28 pm
I hadn't heard of them, when I was it school it was King Crimson (Fripp the best guitarist I've seen), Led Zep & of course Purple.
David

I liked Led Zeppelin and especially Deep Purple, although I was too young to appreciate either of them in their heyday. King Crimson rather dipped under my radar; I must give them a listen.



8th April 1942

PANIC HQ, San Francisco.

It’s late in the evening, but uncharacteristically Blackadder and his advisors are still sat around the conference table, digesting the day’s reports. Gone is the laughter, the banter, the gentle (and not so gentle) ribbing, the heady optimism, the talk of “sticking it to them”. No more does a general feeling of smugness pervade GHQ. HMS Repulse - sunk. HMS Dorsetshire - sunk. HMAS Australia, badly wounded and within easy reach of Japanese battleships and carrier aircraft, will be lucky, very lucky, to avoid the same fate tomorrow. Darwin is suddenly looking very vulnerable. On Java the Japanese have established a beachhead at Semarang. Yet again, the Allied air forces have suffered heavily for little gain. Striker tried to take a sip from his glass, but his drink problem is starting to worsen; he ended up sloshing most of the water into his face. He poured himself another glass.

“Who,” demanded Blackadder, “ordered Repulse north of Ambon without adequate air cover despite knowing the presence of enemy carriers and shore-based bombers?” No-one, apparently - at least no-one remembered doing so. Perhaps Adm. Somerville did it off his own bat? He wasn’t ordered specifically not go north of Ambon. Perhaps he should have been. Whose responsibility should this have been? Captain Birdseye’s? General Alexander’s (the theatre commander)? Blackadder’s? No, definitely not Blackadder’s. That suggestion didn’t go down too well. Striker sloshed another glass of water into his face.

Success has many parents, but failure is an orphan.

“And what made Somerville think that the Japanese would be so stupid as to leave their valuable, fragile aircraft carriers in such a vulnerable position without making suitable provision to protect them?” continued Blackadder. No-one answered. This was all getting rather uncomfortable. It was Captain Triggers who decided to try and change the mood.

“Look, this is war, gentlemen; WAR” he roared. “We a going to lose more ships, a lot, lot more, before this is over, and aircraft too. I shudder to think of the number of ground casualties we’ll suffer. Remember the first day of the Somme? Remember Bloody April? Nonetheless, we triumphed in the last war, and we’ll triumph in this one too!

Good ol’ Captain Triggers; stirring stuff! He certainly injected some badly-needed steely determination into the meeting. Unfortunately his outburst also rather drew a bad-tempered Blackadder’s attention to himself.

“We may well have to accept heavy losses” said Blackadder, “but in war it is customary to also occasionally inflict the odd casualty on one’s enemy. Tell me, Triggers; how many ships have your bombers hit off Java in the past two days?

“Well…umm…” stuttered Triggers “I don’t think how many ships were hit is a particularly useful measure of the bombers’ effectiveness”

“He means they didn’t hit any” whispered Mainwaring to Uncle Albert, just loudly enough to be heard all around the table.

Striker tried to help Triggers out. “Why don’t we bring up the B17Es from Australia and use them to hit the beachhead on Java?” he said, inadvertently piling yet more agony on poor Triggers. “The. problem is” replied Triggers, "is that we don’t have any airfields large enough in the region to deploy the B17s effectively. The nearest suitable airbase is Darwin."

“But why didn’t we enlarge them? We’ve had months to prepare our defence of Java!” shouted Blackadder. Triggers explained “We knew that Java and much of the Dutch East Indies was likely to fall to the enemy, we didn’t want to spend time, effort and resources improving the airfields only for the Japanese to make good use of them against us”.

Blackadder was mollified. “Well, at least then the Japanese will have to spend the time, energy and resources building up the airfields to be able to use their bombers properly, that should slow them down somewhat” he said. “That’s some good news”.

It was Dirk Gently who spoiled even this crumb of comfort. “That’s not quite right” he interjected. “According to our intelligence, the Japanese long-range bombers are lighter than ours, and are therefore quite capable of operating at full effectiveness from smaller airfields than the B17s”.

A by now weary Blackadder sought some clarification. “So our airfields in the region aren’t big enough for our B17s to operate effectively from. We made the decision not to enlarge the airfields so as hinder the enemy’s ability to use them for their own bomber operations against us when captured. However, it turns out that the airfields are already large enough for the Japanese to make full use of, it’s just that they were too small for OUR bombers, and all we’ve succeeded in doing is hindering our own operations, not those of the enemy.”

“I think that’s a fair summary” replied Triggers. A third glass of water sloshed into Striker’s face.
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Re: A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post by M Peaston »

8th April 1942 continued - the gory details.



INDIA/BURMA

B17Es from Dacca bombed Rangoon, causing some minor damage to the airfield. The Japanese kept up their daily bombardment of Toungoo.


ABDA

Allied torpedo boats attempted to attack suspected Japanese Battleships in the Makassar strait, but were intercepted by a DD TF off Balikpapan (it’s almost as if the Japanese DDs were lurking there on purpose!). No ships were lost on either side, but the torpedo boats have no torpedoes left. They can’t rearm at Balikpapan, so they’re going to try and make their way to Soerabaja via Makassar. From Soerabaja they may be able to attack Japanese shipping at Semarang. In hindsight it would have been much better to have sent them to Java in the first place.

Repulse, Australia and Dorsetshire plus 3 DDs tangled with the BBs Kongo and Haruna, CAs Atago and Chockai plus 4 DDs/TBs just north of Ambon. Repulse held her own for much of the battle, scoring several good hits on Kongo, but while trying to disengage the long-range plunging fire from the Japanese BBs proved too much for her deck armour, and she sank soon after the battle. Australia and Devonshire traded his with the two Japanese Cruisers, with honours about even. Dorsetshire was later sunk by land and carrier based aircraft, and Australia heavily damaged, despite the best efforts of LRcap by Hurricanes based at Ambon.

At Semarang the Japanese quickly overwhelmed the meagre Dutch defences and now appear to be heading towards Soerabaja. Nine Allied bombers were lost attempting to attack Japanese shipping at Semarang.


SWPAC/SOPAC

Marauders from Port Moresby continued to attack Japanese ships at Gasmata, but with no results.


SUBMARINE WARFARE

Sealion hit xAKL Kidokawa Maru with a dud torpedo off of Aogashima.
At Semarang S-37 hit AK Noto Maru with - you guessed it - a dud torpedo!

It was one of those turns when nothing went right….
M Peaston
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Re: A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post by M Peaston »

9th April 1942


A slightly better day than yesterday.


ABDA

The Allied bombers changed tack over Semarang, hitting the beachhead rather than the shipping. Results were disappointing, but at least they hit something. Over Semarang Zeros chewed up the Hurricanes, but the P400 Airacobras hit the Zeros. The Warhawks showed up long after everyone else had gone home. Overall 8 Hurricanes and 2 bombers were lost, with 6 Zeros claimed.

Over Merak the Dutch 75-A7 Hawks claimed 6 Nells.

Somehow HMAS Australia wriggled away from the Japanese carriers and battleships; she’s now just 160nm north of Darwin and should make port there where her damaged can be fully assessed.


USA

24th Separate Rgt embarks at San Francisco bound for Suva.


SUBMARINE WARFARE

The RN cruisers Mauritius and Caledon encounter SS I-153 off Port Blair. There have been rumours of Japanese subs operating in the Indian Ocean/Bay of Bengal/Andaman Sea, but this is the first confirmed sighting.

Some small revenge for the RN; HMS Trusty put 3 torpedoes into xAP Huso Maru at Semarang with inevitable results. It appears that the Huso Maru had already unloaded, but a sinking is a sinking.



PANIC HQ

Nimitz is in town, he’s in conference with Blackadder, Birdseye, Striker and Uncle Albert. Birdseye and Striker are particularly enthusiastic about the operation. Even Nimitz had to admit that the concept is quite a good one. He wondered who thought of it; clearly it wasn’t this bunch of numpties. Unfortunately too many of the pieces are in the wrong place, having been sent hither and thither, when they should be ready to go by now. Nimitz insists that from now own the planning is done by his staff.

Blackadder is not so sure about this operation. It’s very risky, and it ties up valuable resources away from key theatres at a crucial time. However, Nimitz, Birdseye, Striker and even Uncle Albert are all in favour - who is Blackadder to argue? Reluctantly, and with some trepidation, Blackadder authorises ‘Operation NEPTUNE’.
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Re: A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post by BBfanboy »

You don't want to have to say "We're so sorry, Uncle Albert!" Go with Nimitz' plan or Admiral Halsey will never get to sleep and will eat the larder out of pot pies ... ;)
No matter how bad a situation is, you can always make it worse. - Chris Hadfield : An Astronaut's Guide To Life On Earth
M Peaston
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Re: A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post by M Peaston »

BBfanboy wrote: Wed Jul 30, 2025 2:43 am You don't want to have to say "We're so sorry, Uncle Albert!" Go with Nimitz' plan or Admiral Halsey will never get to sleep and will eat the larder out of pot pies ... ;)

BBFanboy, if there was a contest for the wittiest post on the Matrix forums, I’d nominate this one. Nice work!

Of course, I was planning on their being an encounter between Uncle Albert and Admiral Halsey at some stage……ahem…. or at least I would like to say I was planning it - but I wasn’t. I had completely and utterly forgotten about this song. When I first saw your post I wondered what you were wittering about, until the “We’re so sorry Uncle Albert” started to ring a bell somewhere. I didn’t even remember the Halsey reference even though it’s in the title - that’s how much I’d forgotten it.

For those that don’t recognise anything here, BBFanboy is referring to the song ‘Uncle Albert/Admiral Halsey’ by Paul and Linda McCartney. (I’ll whisper this quietly to avoid upsetting anyone’s sensibilities), this perhaps wasn’t the finest song ever written. Nonetheless, it might just start to catch on with the Allied soldiers and sailors around the Pacific….
M Peaston
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Re: A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post by M Peaston »

10th April 1942

A quieter turn today.



CHINA

The Japanese attack the isolated Chinese forces at Anyang; the Chinese give as good as they get.


INDIA/BURMA

17th Indian Division receives its daily dose of shelling and bombing.


ABDA

It was the Warhawks’ turn to tangle with the Zeros over Semarang. Four Warhawks were lost in return for 8 Zeros claimed, although I am somewhat dubious about this figure.

Oscars swept over Merak, shooting down four 75A-7 Hawks for one Oscar reportedly lost.

The Dutch Motor Torpedo Boats from Balikpapan have been able to slip past the Japanese Destroyers lurking for them in the Makassar Strait and have made their way via Madjene (Celebes) to Kangean (just off of Soerabaja). When they reach Soerabaja and have refuelled/repaired they’ll try and attack Japanese shipping at Semarang in coordination with an air attack.

The good ol’ persistent, undaunted Wirraways at Batavia bombed Oosthaven airfield again causing minor damage.

The damage to HMAS Australia has been assessed at Darwin; above deck is a shambles but her hull is relatively intact. The main issue is going to be replacing the gun turrets - it’s going to be a trip to Cape Town. There is a Japanese submarine sniffing around north of Broome, once clear of there I think she’ll be fine.
HMAS Australia.png
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NORPAC

NORPAC HQ under Rear-Admiral Robert Theobold has been established at Adak.


SUBMARINE WARFARE

I-18 sinks AM Whippoorwill off of Suva.
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Re: A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post by M Peaston »

11th April 1942


INDIA/BURMA

The Indian forces at Toungoo suffer their daily air and artillery bombardment. 1st Squadron AVG at Mandalay has been ordered to provide some air opposition tomorrow.


ABDA

Allied air forces, especially the Dutch, suffered heavily over Semarang. The Dutch lost 8 fighters and 7 bombers of various obsolete models, with the Australians losing 4 Buffalos and the UAAF 5 P-400 Airacobras. Seven Zeros are claimed to have been shot down (mostly by the Airacobras), and minimal damage done to the port. Zeros are now operating from the airfield at Semarang itself rather than providing LRCAP from Oosthaven, and the difference is noticeable. For the time being air attacks against Semarang will be restricted to fighter sweeps by Airacobras, Warhawks and Hurricanes, and airfield attacks by B25s.

That, however, is for the time being. One more major air attack against Semarang is being planned; Indomitable and Formidable are north of Cocos Island, and Hermes is lurking to the south of Java, and two squadrons of B17Es have arrived at Darwin for transfer to Soerabaja. The idea is for fighter sweeps and B17 airfield attacks to keep the Zeros pegged back while the Fleet Air Arm goes after the Japanese shipping at Semarang.


NORPAC

In his first full day in command at NORPAC, RADM Theobald receives notice that the four submarine under NORPAC command have been temporarily assigned for a special mission. He didn’t realise he had any submarines under his command. Oh well, as long as they get returned to him……


SUBMARINE WARFARE

KXVII torpedoes xAK Midori Maru off of Fukue-jima in the East China Sea. It’s always nice to torpedo something off the coast of Japan, reminding the enemy that nowhere at sea is safe.

At Semarang S-38 put 3 torpedoes into xAP Husimi Maru, but was herself stonked by the Destroyers Yugiri and Uranami. S-38 is limping back to Australia now, but she should make it okay. It’s a worthwhile exchange for a nice xAP.
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Re: A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post by M Peaston »

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Re: A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post by saj42 »

Just spent 3 days reading this AAR, having just got back into WITP:AE. An excellent read.

Fokko is taking a very cautious stance in this game, but given the transport and resource constraints for Japan in this scenario, loosing out on months of Allied oil centre production by not capturing the oil centres will hurt him in the long run I think.

Loving the PANIC HQ storyline. But I am extremely disappointed that Baldrick never got a job there. Surely every senior British Army Officer must have a 'batman'?
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Re: A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post by M Peaston »

Hi Saj42, thank you for your comments and I’m glad you enjoyed the read. I didn’t realise I’d written so much, it all adds up over time.

I’ve been giving the Japanese strategy some thought as far as capturing (or not capturing) the major oil centres, and I think it is actually quite a clever strategy. The Japanese don’t necessarily miss out on the oil production at all, but I think the weaknesses in this approach are more nuanced.

So far the Japanese control all of the oil-producing regions of Sumatra, plus Miri and Brunei. The Allies still hold Java, Balikpapan, Samarinda and Tarakan. Now, I shut down the refineries in the Allied-controlled areas a while ago - but I cannot shut down the oil wells. The oil just keeps flowing - and accumulating.

Java is not such an issue, it doesn’t produce that much oil, I’ve shipped a fair amount out, it has stockpiled only around 12,000 oil and will soon fall to the Japanese anyway. Borneo however is a different matter. Balikpapan and Samarinda have accumulated around 226,000 oil between them, Tarakan 177,000 and there’s nothing realistic I can do to move it out.

I think the Japanese plan is to drive into the Southern DEI and capture the airfields before backfilling in Borneo, while the Allied oil centres just keep producing for the Japanese to pick up at their leisure.

I think the weakness, the ‘bottleneck’ if you like, is going to be Japanese shipping. The refinery at Balikpapan doesn’t quite keep up with the oil production there and Samarinda, and there’s a bigger gap between production and refining capacity at Tarakan. To be used, that backlog of oil is going to have to be shipped somewhere, probably Japan, and then if it’s needed elsewhere it’s got to be shipped out again. Shifting that backlog is going to put extra strain on Japanese shipping; I need to try and exacerbate that strain.

These are just my thoughts - I may very well be quite wrong.

Baldrick……yes, you’re absolutely right. I shall give this some thought. There are more vacancies to be filled at PANIC HQ….
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Re: A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post by saj42 »

Matthew,

You are right (I phrased my question wrong) - Japan will have trouble shipping the accumulated oil back to the Home Islands due to the reduced cargo capacities of the merchant marine. It will take longer to build the stockpiles at home, giving you opportunities to sink the tankers and put pressure on Fokko's economy.
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Re: A Good Place to Start - Matthew (A) v Fokko (J) - Bottlenecks Mod

Post by M Peaston »

saj42 wrote: Wed Sep 03, 2025 11:33 am Matthew,

You are right (I phrased my question wrong) - Japan will have trouble shipping the accumulated oil back to the Home Islands due to the reduced cargo capacities of the merchant marine. It will take longer to build the stockpiles at home, giving you opportunities to sink the tankers and put pressure on Fokko's economy.
However you phrased your comments, they pushed me into thinking through the implications of Japan’s approach, which I hadn’t really done before. I’m finding that this is one of the advantages of doing an AAR.



13th April 1942



CHINA

The Japanese 15th Tank Rgt seemingly pulled back from the Ningsia/Lanchow front in late March. Now Sigint indicates that the 3rd Tank Rgt may also be pulling back, being replaced by the 13th Ind Infantry Rgt. Pulling out tanks and replacing them with infantry suggests the Japanese may be going on the defensive on this front. Where will the tanks go? Are the Japanese planning an offensive elsewhere in China? The Chinese are planning a small offensive of their own in the South (more on that later), so they were quite happy to see Japanese tank regiments hanging around in the North and not achieving very much. This leads to another question: should the Chinese attack Ningsia to try and keep the Japanese tanks in place, or should they wait until the tanks are long gone and then attack to try and inflict a defeat on the enemy? There is yet one more question - can the Chinese sustain two simultaneous offensives?



INDIA/BURMA

AVG tangled with Japanese fighters over Toungoo; three H81-A3s were lost, with one Oscar shot down.



ABDA

At Semarang the Allied fighters fared badly, 5 Warhawks and 3 Hurricanes were lost, with 6 Zeros claimed in return, mostly by the Hurricanes. At 223 Group HQ in Soerabaja, Air Vice-Marshall Williams holds a conference with his fighter squadron commanders. The Warhawks and Airacobras have been flying at a height which seems to suit the Zeros best, and accordingly have been getting mauled, whereas the Hurricanes have been performing better by sweeping at well over 20,000 ft. From now on, all fighter sweeps will take place over 20,000 ft.

The controllers at Soerabaja airbase are having a busy day. Obsolete Dutch and Australian aircraft are being flown out, and flying in are a squadron of NZ Hurricanes and two squadrons of B17Es. Where are we going to put the B17s? The repair hangers are stuffed full of bashed up Warhawks, Dutch B25s are being bombed up, another squadron of newly-arrived Dutch B25s are being made ready for action, and there is the usual activity of fighter sweeps and patrols. Everyone is keeping their fingers crossed that the Japanese don’t bomb the airbase…..

Wakde falls to the Japanese.


SWPAC

At Townsville the 2nd US Marine Rgt is embarking on troopships bound for Milne Bay, escorted by the Heavy Cruisers Chicago and San Francisco, the Light Cruisers Perth and Adelaide, and five destroyers. Air cover will be provided by Warhawks and Lightnings operating from Port Moresby. The Japanese have been carrying out daily reconnaissance flights over Milne Bay, so if they are going to react they are likely to do so very quickly.


USA

147th Separate Rgt embarks aboard Queen Mary bound for Melbourne; the 147th’s ultimate destination is Port Hedland.


SUBMARINE WARFARE

Off Uruppu-jima Gudgeon peppers xAKL Shino Maru with 3-inch shells, leaving her on fire.

KXVI torpedoes the Cruiser-Minelayer Okinoshima off Jesselton.

I-18 torpedoes and obliterates HDML Silver Cloud off of Suva. I-18 is becoming something of a nuisance, and also a bit of a worry with a convoy carrying 6th US Marine Rgt heading to Suva. There is also a small supply convoy due at Suva tomorrow; hopefully the Japanese submarine will be too busy sinking less important xAKLs to bother with the valuable troopships. Again, fingers are crossed!
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