A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

[rkr1958]

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Allied #11. East Africa.

11-AL-East-Africa-CL.png (14.94 KiB) Viewed 151 times

11-AL-East-Africa.png (1.45 MiB) Viewed 151 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Allied #11. Soviet Asian Fronts (Manchuria & Korea).

11-AL-Asian-Soviet-CL.png (15.78 KiB) Viewed 151 times

11-AL-Asian-Manchuria-Korea.png (1.47 MiB) Viewed 151 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Allied #11. Asian Theater. China.

Non-Combat Logs.

11-AL-Asian-CCP-NAT-Non-CL.png (19.41 KiB) Viewed 149 times

Mtns 74,140.

11-AL-Asian-Mtn-74-140-CL.png (51.75 KiB) Viewed 149 times

11-AL-Asian-Mtn-74-140-LC.png (258.9 KiB) Viewed 149 times

Map.

11-AL-Asian-China.png (1.48 MiB) Viewed 149 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Axis #12. Impulse Planning.

EOT Check, Weather (Previous Impulse) and Actions (All Pass).
(1) Germany, Italy really need to make any moves.
(2) Japan neither; except in Northern China to keep 3 flipped armies from being isolated.
(3) However; they don't really have any good moves that will keep them from being isolated and any "fair" moves would result in the loss of Wuhan and leave a big hole in central China.
(4) Therefore; all 3 axis powers pass in the "hope" that this turn (finally) ends (80% by all passing vs 70% if all but 1 vs 60% otherwise).

12-AX-EOT-Weather-Actions.png (22.86 KiB) Viewed 140 times

Active WAR.
Germany.

12-AX-WAR-GER.png (26.41 KiB) Viewed 140 times

Italy.

12-AX-WAR-ITA.png (25.29 KiB) Viewed 140 times

Japan.

12-AX-WAR-JPN.png (31.2 KiB) Viewed 140 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Axis #12.

Combat Logs.
(1) Turn does end (barley) and only because all 3 axis major powers passed.

12-AX-EOT-Check.png (16.58 KiB) Viewed 129 times

Partisans.
(2) 53.1% no new partisans, 46.9% at least 1, and 0.69 expected new partisans.
(3) 9 countries checked, 1 garrison check (FIC) and 0 new partisans; much to the disappointment of the allies in China.

99-Partisans-CL.png (31.88 KiB) Viewed 129 times

99-Partisans.png (62 KiB) Viewed 129 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. End of Turn. Nazi-Soviet Pact.

99-Nazi-Soviet-Pact.png (35.51 KiB) Viewed 127 times

99-NSP-Summary.png (45.56 KiB) Viewed 127 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. End of Turn. US Entry Options.

(1) The US meets their directive to occupy Greenland & Iceland (USA-WAR-26).
(2) However; they decide to "call an audible" and elect option 36, "Commonwealth reinforces Pacific".
(3) This audible was called to exploit the fact that the Japanese are on their heals in Asia vs the USSR & CCP and in no position to deal with Western Allied aggression there.
(4) Even with the ability to reduce tension by -3 to 12, the US still has to move 2 chits from Jp entry to tension.
(5) This selection bumps up against the required maximum tension level of 31 in both pools (USA-WAR-39).
(6) Fortunately it stays just below at 30 tension in both pools; however, US DOW % vs Japan drops from 40 to 10 AND no more US entry options can be select without risking going over the 31 max tension level.

99-US-Entry-CL.png (42.85 KiB) Viewed 125 times

99-US-Entry.png (170.5 KiB) Viewed 125 times

99-US-WAR.png (20 KiB) Viewed 125 times

99-US-Entry-Its-War.png (187.43 KiB) Viewed 125 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. End of Turn. "The Butcher's Bill".

BP Report.

99-BP-CL.png (22.07 KiB) Viewed 120 times

Destroyed.

99-Destroyed.png (160.9 KiB) Viewed 120 times

Damaged.

99-Repair.png (152.28 KiB) Viewed 120 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. End of Turn.

Use Oil.

99-Use-Oil.png (33.67 KiB) Viewed 113 times

Final Reorganization (Unorganized Units).
(1) The list of units not reorg (i.e., remaining flipped) was as expected except for the 2 IJA armies in North China.
(2) I believe this to be a bug as the two IJA armies should be able to trace a supply path (infinite that is) through the adjacent 11th inf army.
(3) Unless convinced otherwise, I plan to reorg those two armies.

99-Unreorg-Units.png (251.29 KiB) Viewed 113 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. End of Turn. Corps/Armies Breakdown.

99-Asian-Breakdown-CL.png (7.24 KiB) Viewed 106 times

99-Asian-Breakdown.png (660.87 KiB) Viewed 106 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. End of Turn.

Final Production.

99-Final-Production-Report.png (22.79 KiB) Viewed 91 times

Economic Reports & Production.

99-ECON.png (99.1 KiB) Viewed 91 times

Production. Sep/Oct 1941 (Next Turn).

99-Production-1.png (221.81 KiB) Viewed 91 times

East Africa. Wavell's Strategic Error.
(1) Though solo I'm amazed at how often "I surprise myself".
(2) Did not even occur to me that Italy could reinforce their flipped & isolated inf corps in Asmara, Eritrea by getting a Eritrea Terr.
(3) So as Italy I produced 3 Terr to maximize the chance of getting the Eritrea Terr.
(4) Not only did that pay off (i.e., Italy got that Terr); but also got the AOI Terr, which I believe can be deployed adjacent to Asmara.
(5) By waiting to attack this coming next turn, instead of this past turn, Wavell's chance of capturing Asmara went from 100% to 55% and with a 5% risk of losing all three attackers.
(6) Needless to say this was a major strategic error made by Wavell, who's career and personal safety are now on the line.

99-East-Africa-Eritrea-Strategic-Error.png (971.67 KiB) Viewed 91 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. End of Turn.

Production.

99-Production-1.png (221.81 KiB) Viewed 91 times

99-Production-2.png (152.8 KiB) Viewed 91 times

99-Production-3.png (125.31 KiB) Viewed 91 times

99-Production-4.png (133.01 KiB) Viewed 91 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. End of Turn. Conquest, Surrender, Factory Destruction.

99-Conquest-Surrender-Factory-Destruction-CL.png (23.97 KiB) Viewed 87 times

99-Conquest-Atlantic-Iceland-Greenland.png (395.49 KiB) Viewed 87 times

99-Surrender-China-No.png (1.34 MiB) Viewed 87 times

99-Asian-Factory-Destruction.png (1021.3 KiB) Viewed 87 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. End of Turn. Victory Totals & Points.

99-VT.png (147.18 KiB) Viewed 85 times

99-VP.png (60.85 KiB) Viewed 85 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. Global Maps.

Control.

99-GM-Control.png (88.24 KiB) Viewed 84 times

Units.

99-GM-Units.png (85.04 KiB) Viewed 84 times

Active Axis.

99-GM-Active-Axis.png (87.2 KiB) Viewed 84 times

Active Allied.

99-GM-Active-Allied.png (88.02 KiB) Viewed 84 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. End of Turn. Battle of the Atlantic Stats.

99-CP-Losses.png (54.43 KiB) Viewed 84 times

99-BOA-GMT-by-Year.png (22.82 KiB) Viewed 84 times

99-BOA-Cumulative.png (23.31 KiB) Viewed 84 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. End of Turn.

Weather & Actions Summary.

99-Weather-Actions.png (49.52 KiB) Viewed 17 times

Combat Logs Summary.

99-CL-Summary.png (79.58 KiB) Viewed 84 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. End of Turn. WAR Directive Assessments. Axis.

Summary.

99-WAR.png (37.73 KiB) Viewed 77 times

Germany.

99-WAR-Germany.png (31.33 KiB) Viewed 77 times

Italy.

99-WAR-Italy.png (33.45 KiB) Viewed 77 times

Japan.

99-WAR-Japan.png (36.25 KiB) Viewed 77 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. End of Turn. WAR Directive Assessments. Democratic Allies.

Summary.

99-WAR.png (37.73 KiB) Viewed 77 times

CW.
(1) If only Wavell had execute CW-WAR-152, "Conquer Eritrea" as written instead of delaying for a turn for what he thought would be an automatic & no loss conquest.
(2) As stated recently, and currently as it stands, by waiting his chance of conquest went from sure (i.e., 100%) to 55% (at best) and far from no risk (i.e., 5% of PL3=12 BPs w/Ex[Loss]=2.12 BP).

99-WAR-CW.png (34.23 KiB) Viewed 77 times

USA.

99-WAR-USA.png (33.36 KiB) Viewed 77 times

Nationalist Chinese.

99-WAR-NAT.png (10.39 KiB) Viewed 77 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 12. Jul/Aug 1941. End of Turn. WAR Directive Assessments. Communist Allies.

Summary.

99-WAR.png (37.73 KiB) Viewed 77 times

USSR.

99-WAR-USSR.png (26.75 KiB) Viewed 77 times

CCP.

99-WAR-CCP.png (23.25 KiB) Viewed 77 times