A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

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rkr1958
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Re: A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

Post by rkr1958 »

Turn 13. Sep/Oct 1941. Axis #5. East Africa.
05-AX-East-Africa-CL.png
05-AX-East-Africa-CL.png (10.2 KiB) Viewed 312 times
05-AX-East-Africa.png
05-AX-East-Africa.png (1.44 MiB) Viewed 312 times
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rkr1958
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Re: A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

Post by rkr1958 »

Turn 13. Sep/Oct 1941. Axis #5. Asian Theater. China Sea Sector (vs USSR).
05-AX-Asian-vs-USSR-CL.png
05-AX-Asian-vs-USSR-CL.png (48.26 KiB) Viewed 312 times
05-AX-Asian-China-Sea-Sector.png
05-AX-Asian-China-Sea-Sector.png (1.59 MiB) Viewed 312 times
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Re: A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

Post by rkr1958 »

Turn 13. Sep/Oct 1941. Asian Theater. China.
05-AX-Asian-vs-CCP-CL.png
05-AX-Asian-vs-CCP-CL.png (10.67 KiB) Viewed 312 times
05-AX-Asian-vs-NAT-CL.png
05-AX-Asian-vs-NAT-CL.png (23.89 KiB) Viewed 312 times
05-AX-Asian-China.png
05-AX-Asian-China.png (1.54 MiB) Viewed 312 times
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Re: A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

Post by rkr1958 »

Turn 13. Sep/Oct 1941. Allied #8. Weather, Actions.

(1) At best, 40% allies will get more impulses this turn.
(2) Better than a coin flip this will be the last allied impulse of the turn.
08-AL-Weather-Actions.png
08-AL-Weather-Actions.png (21.17 KiB) Viewed 282 times
08-AL-Weather-Report.png
08-AL-Weather-Report.png (112.11 KiB) Viewed 282 times
08-AL-Actions-Activities-Available.png
08-AL-Actions-Activities-Available.png (55.14 KiB) Viewed 282 times
08-AL-Impulse-Initiative-Info.png
08-AL-Impulse-Initiative-Info.png (86.02 KiB) Viewed 282 times
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Re: A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

Post by rkr1958 »

Turn 13. Sep/Oct 1941. Allied #8. Impulse Planning. USA.

(1) Analysis of Enigma intercepts confirms that Ge U-boat & It Sub commanders have been ordered not to continue U-boat/Sub searches in the Atlantic for the rest of THIS turn.
(2) This intelligence is scrubbed to protect Enigma and shared with a "neutral" US, the US marks all elements of USA-WAR-41, "Atlantic CP Escorts" as met (pass).
(3) Also, because the CW merchantmen fleet is providing supply to the newly established USN naval & air bases in Greenland & Iceland, all elements of USA-WAR-42, "Establish Arctic Bases" are marked as met (pass).
(4) Not (yet) being fully read into Enigma, the USN Atlantic fleet, based in Norfolk, will send an additional BB w/3rd inf div & the CVL Langley (w/TBD CAG) to North Atlantic[0].
(5) Because storm have grounded all land based air & cancelled all carrier flight operations, this move increases the storm ravage allied ASW from 12 to 15 (or 1 column increase) in the North Atlantic.
(6) USN BB w/3rd inf div & CVL Langley will RTB at EOT to Reykjavik, Iceland.
(7) The USN will use their 3rd naval move to move 2 CPs from Norfolk to the Denmark Strait, which will also be RTB at EOT to Reykjavik.

Active WAR.
08-WAR-USA.png
08-WAR-USA.png (22.07 KiB) Viewed 279 times
USN Atlantic Fleet.
08-AL-USA-Norfolk.png
08-AL-USA-Norfolk.png (516.67 KiB) Viewed 279 times
08-AL-USN-North-Atlantic.png
08-AL-USN-North-Atlantic.png (177.83 KiB) Viewed 279 times
08-AL-USA-Iceland.png
08-AL-USA-Iceland.png (372.16 KiB) Viewed 279 times
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Re: A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

Post by rkr1958 »

Turn 13. Sep/Oct 1941. Allied #8. Impulse Planning. CW.

(1) The CW with very high confidence, because of Enigma marks all elements of CW-WAR-157, "Production, Oil Goals" as met (pass).
(2) However; on confirmation of production, trade & oil saves they encounter a convoy routing "glitch" that (again) shows the 1 BP lend lease to France as "No Path (Lost)"!
(3) Also, the current production screen shows unused CW CP segments of 5 CPs total (not counting the Med or Pacific, which are supply CPs).
(4) The junior officer that scrambled these convoy lines is in a heap of trouble!
(5) To address this (i.e., fix this mess!), I first identify a CAN RP being routed to the UK through via East Coast -> North Atlantic -> Faeroes Gap.
(6) That would be Canadian RP 52, 298.

Active WAR.
08-WAR-CW.png
08-WAR-CW.png (47.08 KiB) Viewed 278 times
CW Production (1/2).
08-Atlantic-CW-Production.png
08-Atlantic-CW-Production.png (249.95 KiB) Viewed 278 times
08-Atalntic-CW-Produciton-CAN-RP-Before.png
08-Atalntic-CW-Produciton-CAN-RP-Before.png (162.28 KiB) Viewed 278 times
Last edited by rkr1958 on Mon Dec 01, 2025 5:46 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

Post by rkr1958 »

Turn 13. Sep/Oct 1941. Allied #8. Impulse Planning. CW.

(7) I then edit the game file to reroute that RP; specifically, East Coast -> Canadian Coast -> Denmark Straight -> Faeroes Gap.
(8) Then I check to see (confirm) the 1 Lend Lease BP is now properly flowing from London to the Middle Congo as intended.
(9) Next I check the general production for the CW and, to my delight, everything is flowing as I intended when I set these convoy lines up!
(10) Specifically, full CW production of 25 BPs > 24 required, +1 oil saved to the UK (for a total of 3) & 1 BP lend lease for the UK to the France.
(11) All of this is achieved with using only 1 oil for production and 3 non-oil RPs idled (with the Cyprus RP in future turns on the list to replace the 1 oil used for production).
(12) Now I can get on with the CW impulse planning!

CW Production (2/2).
08-AL-CW-Production-CL.png
08-AL-CW-Production-CL.png (18.22 KiB) Viewed 278 times
08-Atalntic-CW-Produciton-CAN-RP-After.png
08-Atalntic-CW-Produciton-CAN-RP-After.png (159.81 KiB) Viewed 278 times
08-Atalntic-CW-Produciton-CW-1BP-FR.png
08-Atalntic-CW-Produciton-CW-1BP-FR.png (163.83 KiB) Viewed 278 times
08-Atlantic-CW-Production-Fix.png
08-Atlantic-CW-Production-Fix.png (230.5 KiB) Viewed 278 times
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Re: A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

Post by Orm »

rkr1958 wrote: Mon Dec 01, 2025 5:28 pm
(2) However; on confirmation of production, trade & oil saves they encounter a convoy routing "glitch" that (again) shows the 1 BP lend lease to France as "No Path (Lost)"!
Have you tried to change which BP being sent to the receiving MP? That method often works to get the traded BP to arrive if CPs are available. Can explain further if need be (although I haven't tried this for a while since I've had no need).

Edit: Although I might misunderstand the bug here.
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Re: A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

Post by rkr1958 »

Orm wrote: Mon Dec 01, 2025 5:58 pm
rkr1958 wrote: Mon Dec 01, 2025 5:28 pm
(2) However; on confirmation of production, trade & oil saves they encounter a convoy routing "glitch" that (again) shows the 1 BP lend lease to France as "No Path (Lost)"!
Have you tried to change which BP being sent to the receiving MP? That method often works to get the traded BP to arrive if CPs are available. Can explain further if need be (although I haven't tried this for a while since I've had no need).

Edit: Although I might misunderstand the bug here.
MWIF elects to send a RP to production (both owned by the CW) instead of sending the trade BP from the UK to Middle Congo (France). My understanding is that the trade BP should take precedence over the owned RP to factory for production (both using/needing the same exact CP route except in reverse).
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Re: A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

Post by rkr1958 »

Turn 13. Sep/Oct 1941. Allied #8. Impulse Planning. CW (& France).

(1) The British Admiralty wanted to challenge (i.e., search for) the axis in both the West Med and Italian Coast.
(2) A CW combine, or naval, is required to search the Italian Coast as only RN units are present.
(3) A CW combine fits well with the British Admiralty due to their desire to get Monty, inf corps in Liverpool & Cav corps in Bristol to theater (i.e., Med).
(4) Such a move would see the 2 RN & 1 Dutch TRS Gp move their cargo to Cape St. Vincent, which would then debark from there into Morocco, requiring/using the 3 land moves of the combine.
(5) A direct move into the West Med was deemed to risky due to the strong Italian/German air & naval presence there and that has yet to be dealt with.
(6) FYI. There's at most a 40% chance that the allies will get another impulse this turn, so there's a good chance this will be the allies last impulse of the turn.
(7) The East Africa assault force adjacent to Asmara, Eritrea needs no land moves and could use the 1 land combat of the combine to assault.
(8) However; because of the rain (in the Med & Asmara) the assault is postponed due to significantly degraded odds (from rain both on LC odds and shore bombardment factors)
(10) There's only a 40% chance of the allies getting another impulse this turn & 60% of fine weather, which equates to 24%, there's less than a 1 in 4 shot that Wavell will even attempt to take Asmara this turn.
(11) So a CW combine it is then ... well, NO!
(12) CW intelligence analysts "saw" a potential threat, or vulnerability, to CW production.
(13) This vulnerability was in Algeria from the LBA Terr, southwest of Algeries.
(14) A move by that Terr could "cut" the rail line of the Bechar RP, preventing it from getting to a UK factory and costing the CW 1 BP.
(15) As I write this, I originally though it would take 3 land moves to properly contain that threat & 4 land moves if 2 of the 3 units involved were to remain organized.
(16) However; as I look at the situation in real time, I see (believe) that 1 land move could contain the threat.
(17) This would leave 2 land moves to debark 2 of the 3 units from the UK to Morocco, the 3rd could RTB on their transport if the turn does indeed end before the CW gets another impulse.
(18) Therefore; I'm changing the CW action to combine which allows searches in both the West Med and Italian Coast.

UK. Available Sea Lift.
08-AL-CW-Planning-UK-Sea-Lift.png
08-AL-CW-Planning-UK-Sea-Lift.png (790.73 KiB) Viewed 256 times
Med & North Africa.
08-AL-CW-Planning-Med-North-Africa.png
08-AL-CW-Planning-Med-North-Africa.png (2.12 MiB) Viewed 256 times
East Africa.
08-AL-CW-Planning-East-Africa.png
08-AL-CW-Planning-East-Africa.png (905.35 KiB) Viewed 256 times
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Re: A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

Post by rkr1958 »

Turn 13. Sep/Oct 1941. Allied #8. Impulse Planning. CW.

(1) The CW will search the Italian Coast & French West Med.
(2) 1 LM will be used to contain the LBA Terr threat in Algeria to 1 BP of CW production.
(3) Montgomery HQ-A, inf corps & cav corps will be transported to the CSV.
(4) Monty & Cav corps will debark to Rabat, Morocco (remaining 2 LMs).
(5) If necessary (i.e., turn ends before another allied impulse), inf corps on TRS will RTB to Gibraltar or Algeries if RN/Fr manage to clear the West Med.

CW Action Change - combine vs land.
08-AL-Actions-Activities-Available.png
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Re: A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

Post by rkr1958 »

Turn 13. Sep/Oct 1941. Allied #8. Impulse Planning. USSR.

(1) USSR takes a combine for a 10% x 70% = 7% shot of doing some damage against IJN CPs in the China Sea.
(2) It's a long shot but one that comes small risk, mostly to the Soviet Sub Gps in Vladivostok that will be searching for the Jp CPs.
(3) The Soviets will get (take) 3 of their 5 land moves, with the remaining 2 going to the CCP.
(4) 1 of the 3 will be used to secure the vacated Mtn pass in Yan Mts opposite the Japanese marines.
(5) The other 2 will be used in Korea to recapture Wonsan and secure their line north of the Nam river.


Active WAR.
08-WAR-USSR.png
08-WAR-USSR.png (20.81 KiB) Viewed 251 times
Asia. Pacific.
08-AL-USSR-Planning.png
08-AL-USSR-Planning.png (1.51 MiB) Viewed 251 times
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Re: A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

Post by rkr1958 »

Turn 13. Sep/Oct 1941. Allied #8. Impulse Planning. China (CCP & Nationalist).

(1) The CCP will use their 2 LMs to put in supply & then move their Cav corps directly east to position to flank & isolate IJA armies to the south.
(2) The Nationalist will move their Cav corps & div in central China to position to isolate several IJN armies & corps.
(3) If the allies get another impulse this turn, these move have a very good chance of isolating 4 IJA inf/MIL armies (3 of which are flipped) & 1 cav corps (as flipped).

Active WAR.
08-AL-WAR-CCP.png
08-AL-WAR-CCP.png (13.15 KiB) Viewed 251 times
08-AL-WAR-NAT.png
08-AL-WAR-NAT.png (11.17 KiB) Viewed 251 times
China.
08-AL-CCP-NAT-Planning.png
08-AL-CCP-NAT-Planning.png (1.21 MiB) Viewed 251 times
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Re: A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

Post by Orm »

rkr1958 wrote: Mon Dec 01, 2025 7:19 pm
Orm wrote: Mon Dec 01, 2025 5:58 pm
rkr1958 wrote: Mon Dec 01, 2025 5:28 pm
(2) However; on confirmation of production, trade & oil saves they encounter a convoy routing "glitch" that (again) shows the 1 BP lend lease to France as "No Path (Lost)"!
Have you tried to change which BP being sent to the receiving MP? That method often works to get the traded BP to arrive if CPs are available. Can explain further if need be (although I haven't tried this for a while since I've had no need).

Edit: Although I might misunderstand the bug here.
MWIF elects to send a RP to production (both owned by the CW) instead of sending the trade BP from the UK to Middle Congo (France). My understanding is that the trade BP should take precedence over the owned RP to factory for production (both using/needing the same exact CP route except in reverse).
Yes. Somehow telling MWIF to send another BP seems to remind the program what has shipping priority.

Not completely sure that it is this bug that changing the BP traded fixes. It might very well be another bug where the traded BP gets excluded when it should be transported. But it is a fix for a "No Path (Lost)" bug.
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Re: A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

Post by rkr1958 »

Orm wrote: Mon Dec 01, 2025 9:36 pm
rkr1958 wrote: Mon Dec 01, 2025 7:19 pm
Orm wrote: Mon Dec 01, 2025 5:58 pm
Have you tried to change which BP being sent to the receiving MP? That method often works to get the traded BP to arrive if CPs are available. Can explain further if need be (although I haven't tried this for a while since I've had no need).

Edit: Although I might misunderstand the bug here.
MWIF elects to send a RP to production (both owned by the CW) instead of sending the trade BP from the UK to Middle Congo (France). My understanding is that the trade BP should take precedence over the owned RP to factory for production (both using/needing the same exact CP route except in reverse).
Yes. Somehow telling MWIF to send another BP seems to remind the program what has shipping priority.

Not completely sure that it is this bug that changing the BP traded fixes. It might very well be another bug where the traded BP gets excluded when it should be transported. But it is a fix for a "No Path (Lost)" bug.
Thanks Orm!

My game file edit to route a RP via a valid route that I choose (e.g., East Coast -> Canadian Coast -> Denmark Strait -> Faeroes Gap) --vs-- MWIF's route (e.g., East Coast -> North Atlantic -> Faeroes Gap) is a workaround to a regression bug introduced into a "later" version of MWIF (i.e., some version, not sure, after the initial release back in 2014).

The functionality in MWIF is there and working to use a player's specified valid route over MWIF's; but the regression bug introduced doesn't "save" the player specified route and; thus, defaults back to MWIF's route. In an earlier version of MWIF, it was saved and so a user could specify a route as described in the relevant tutorial video. Now, a user inside of MWIF can specify the route as described in the tutorial; but MWIF now ignores that (hence the regression bug).
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Re: A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

Post by rkr1958 »

Turn 13. Sep/Oct 1941. Allied #8. Pacific.
08-AL-Pacific-CL.png
08-AL-Pacific-CL.png (19.36 KiB) Viewed 212 times
08-AL-Pacific-China-Sea-NC-1.png
08-AL-Pacific-China-Sea-NC-1.png (239.57 KiB) Viewed 212 times
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Re: A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

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Turn 13. Sep/Oct 1941. Allied #8. Asian Theater. USSR.
08-AL-Asian-USSR-CL.png
08-AL-Asian-USSR-CL.png (23.1 KiB) Viewed 212 times
08-AL-Asian-Manchuria-Korea.png
08-AL-Asian-Manchuria-Korea.png (1.65 MiB) Viewed 212 times
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Re: A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

Post by rkr1958 »

Turn 13. Sep/Oct 1941. Allied #8. Asian Theater. China.
08-AL-Asian-China-CL.png
08-AL-Asian-China-CL.png (19.25 KiB) Viewed 212 times
08-AL-Asian-China.png
08-AL-Asian-China.png (1.56 MiB) Viewed 212 times
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Re: A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

Post by rkr1958 »

Turn 13. Sep/Oct 1941. Allied #8. Atlantic.
08-AL-Atlantic-CL.png
08-AL-Atlantic-CL.png (37.94 KiB) Viewed 208 times
08-AL-Atlantic-North-Atlantic-NS-NC.png
08-AL-Atlantic-North-Atlantic-NS-NC.png (244.65 KiB) Viewed 208 times
08-AL-Atlantic-CSV-NS-NC.png
08-AL-Atlantic-CSV-NS-NC.png (259.42 KiB) Viewed 208 times
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Re: A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

Post by rkr1958 »

Turn 13. Sep/Oct 1941. Allied #8. Med. Naval Combat.
08-AL-Med-NC-CL.png
08-AL-Med-NC-CL.png (15.74 KiB) Viewed 208 times
08-AL-Med-Italian-Coast-NC-1.png
08-AL-Med-Italian-Coast-NC-1.png (281.26 KiB) Viewed 208 times
08-AL-Med-West-Med-NC-1.png
08-AL-Med-West-Med-NC-1.png (265.76 KiB) Viewed 208 times
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