ORIGINAL: Dan Nichols
My view on Light Industry. I think that most competent Japanese players will stay afloat until the end of 1945. It takes 1000 days to recoup your supply expenditure for repairing a LI. This assumes that it is not bombed or captured before the end of 1945. That would seem that any LI repaired before 1 April 1943 would be a break even expenditure. So, LI repaired during 1942 will generate more supply that it took to repair them. Again, given a good push in China ( which obvert is doing ) most of the LI that is captured damaged can be repaired and most likely will be available until very late into the game. You could also expand LI on the home islands for some additional cost. Just some food for thought.
ORIGINAL: PaxMondo
What Dan says, except note that you don't get the payback until '45. I don't have supply issues in '45, I have them in '42. So I don't expend any supply repairing LI. Ever. Or resource centers. Never.
Oil - YES, almost always. Burma is an exception if I don't go for India at least as far as Calcutta.
HI - Usually
While I haven't played that far yet I can imagine that supply wouldn't be as much of a problem later in the game in a global sense.
The idea I'm playing with is to make each area more self-reliant and able to generate supply for defensive purposes without using as many major convoys from the HI, which waste both fuel and ships in the process.
As Pax notes, though, I am always right on the brink in terms of supply so far in the war. This beginning phase is so fast paced and supply intensive with all of the repairs to R n D and industry.
I will definitely increase HI. This is just good policy for Japan in areas with plentiful fuel and resources.
I might repair or slightly increase LI in select areas that have an over-abundance of local resources and which should be still part of the empire during the next three years.
I will not increase damaged resources.
I will repair and max all oil in the Empire.
I may fix damaged refineries in select locations. Tarakan has been fixed. Miri will not be fixed. (All others have been captured largely intact, which is very lucky! Of course at some point this could change with 4E bombing, notably in Burma).
This is all an experiment, but of course the comments of those who have played into 45 are so helpful. It really is hard to imagine what will happen and plan for that now. But of course this is close to real life, and I like the uncertainty and multiple possible paths to choose from. So much depends not only on what I choose, but what my opponent decides as well, so a sense of complete control is really unachievable. Yet decisions must be made. So many choices ...
And thus the native hue of resolution
Is sicklied o'er with the pale cast of thought
"Success is the ability to go from one failure to another with no loss of enthusiasm." - Winston Churchill