ORIGINAL: treespider
Houston...we have a problem.
Did a quick and dirty scrub down of resources For Japan and the various regions...after Yokel's concerns...
Using 1941 as my base line in comparison with Scenario #1-
Manchuria in game produces 29,600 resources daily or 10,804,000 yearly and consumes 13,700 daily or 5,000,500 yearly leaving a net difference of 5,803,500 points/tons available for export to Japan.
Occupied China in game produces 13,200 resources daily or 4,818,000 yearly and consumes 8,800 daily or 3,212,000 leaving a net difference of 1,606,000 points/tons available for export to Japan.
Problem is Occupied China exported over 4 mil tons of coal to Japan in 1941...far more than the 1.6 mil available in game.
It appears that Mainland Asia is under-represented resource wise. By my calculations Manchuria should have roughly 3500 resource centers as opposed to the 1480 in Stock-AE.
Likewise Occupied China should have should have close to 5,0000 resource centers vs...the 660 currently. Korea is also light....
Those numbers could be fudged with .... the industry in those areas is already operating at full capacity resource wise ...so additional resource centers would not tip the balance in any way other than to provide more resources available for export to Japan.
As it stands per Tracker 1.7.1
Stock AE Scenario 1
At Start Resource Production -
Japanese Small Islands - 400
Ryukus - 800
Sakhalin -10400
Korea – 13800
Formosa – 3400
Manchuria – 29600
China – 13200
Indochina – 6000
Total = 77,600
At Start Resource Consumption
Japanese Small Islands - 300
Ryukus -0
Sakhalin -600
Korea – 9200
Formosa – 1200
Manchuria – 13700
China – 8800
Indochina – 1300
Total = 35,100
Production – Consumption = Total Available for Export to Home Islands
77,600 – 35,100 = 42,500 available for export to Japan
Japan has a 44,500 point daily deficit to make up which translates to 16,242,500 points yearly.
So all of the excess RP in those areas described above still cannot offset the deficit in resources.
To implement my mod I will need to increase the resource centers in Manchuria and China to offset the balance.
I want my available resources for import yearly to equal if not exceed 20,000,000 points as I plan on creating a 20,000,000 point demand in Japan.
Using my earlier algorithm...
With Treespider’s Changes
At Start Resource - Production
Japanese Islands - 400
Ryukus - 800
Sakhalin -10400
Korea – 13800
Formosa – 3400
Manchuria – 29600
China – 13200
Indochina – 6000
Total = 77,600
At Start Resource Consumption
Japanese Islands - 400
Ryukus -0
Sakhalin -800
Korea – 9350
Formosa – 1600
Manchuria – 15,000
China – 9400
Indochina – 1500
Total = 38050
Production – Consumption = Total Available for Export to Home Islands
77,600 – 38050 = 39,050 available for export to Japan
HOWEVER I need this figure to approach 55,000 which means I need to account for an additional 16,000 RP a day in potential production. 16,000 / 20 = 800 Resource centers
I think I can divide 800 resource centers across existing centers in Manchuria and Occupied China.
WOOOF!
Thanks! It did seem to me that something was amiss with what was coming out of Manchukuo and N. China in particular.
OK, now we have a basis for assessing what the impact on Japanese shipping might be.
An increase in Japan's daily resource imports of 16,000 points translates to about 3.42 extra Aden Maru class ships (loading 4,670 resources apiece) landing their Manchurian/N. Chinese cargoes in Japan each day. My Dairen-Moji shuttles seem to average a round trip in between 7 and 8 days inclusive of loading/unloading. Therefore, 3.42 extra ships times, say, 7.5 days = 25.65 rounded to 26 extra vessels being required to carry the additional resource load.
In my testbed variation of BabesLite (in which I've made no changes that would affect these calculations) I've been running 4 such shuttle convoys between Port Arthur (Dairen) and Moji(-Shimonoseki). Each contains an average of about 19 vessels (all Adens). I'm attaching a composite image from Tracker showing the 40 day history of resource stockholdings at Dairen and the sailing pattern of one of the shuttles - in this case DM-4. Damn, those Moji stevedores work like demons!
I think this may be an apposite image because from what I can tell every mainland resource point east of Hankow that doesn't get grabbed by local industry gets sucked remorselessly to Dairen by the game's land transport mechanism - hence Dairen, rightly or wrongly, is a really good place to observe what is happening to mainland resources. And the pattern seems to be that within 3 days of the campaign's start all surplus resources have congregated at Dairen for onward transport to Japan. The image suggests that, with 77 ships applied to that transport task in four convoys, the glut is being reduced at a rate such that no surplus will remain to be lifted within 10 to 20 days, after which I estimate that up to half the ships currently dedicated to this Dairen-Moji shuttle can be released to other duties (to the Marquesas, Brazil and beyond!). If that's an accurate assessment, then finding an additional 26 vessels to lift the extra 16,000 resources becomes something that my existing arrangements would simply take in their stride.
