A Competitive GW (Solo) Scenario by the Numbers.

[rkr1958]

Turn 23. May/June 1943. Start of Turn. Initiative.

Track.

00-Initiative.png (19.38 KiB) Viewed 215 times

Weather Forecast.

00-Weather-Forecast.png (14.56 KiB) Viewed 215 times

Voting.

00-Initiative-CL0.png (21.53 KiB) Viewed 215 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 23. May/June 1943. Start of Turn.

Initiative Determination.

00-Initiative-CL.png (38.79 KiB) Viewed 213 times

00-Initiative-2.png (81.43 KiB) Viewed 213 times

Axis #1. Weather.

01-AX-Weather-Report.png (96.44 KiB) Viewed 213 times

01-AX-Weather-Actions-Matrix-0.png (26.25 KiB) Viewed 213 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 23. May/June 1943. Axis #1. Axis Command.

Impulse #153. Weather & Actions.
(1) Germany - land.
(2) Italy - combine.
(3) Japan - naval. Correction. Japan - combine.

01-AX-Weather-Actions-Matrix.png (16.22 KiB) Viewed 192 times

Germany (Eastern Front).
(4) Germany's planning a general offensive across the entire Eastern Front.
(5) 7 LC identified at OKH for OKW to optimize & execute.
(6) Germany posses 2 O-chits; plan to use HQs for LC support or reorg & then reorg all HQs next turn with 1 O-chit.

[rkr1958]

Turn 23. May/June 1943. Axis #1. Pacific Theater.

Jp Naval Air & IJN Naval Moves x 2.

01-AX-Pacific-IJN-NAir-NM-Log.png (34.17 KiB) Viewed 182 times

01-AX-Pacific-IJN-NAir-NM-Map.png (2.24 MiB) Viewed 182 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 23. May/June 1943. Axis #1. Pacific Theater.

Naval Search. China Sea.

01-AX-Pacific-China-Sea-NC-1-CL.png (13.03 KiB) Viewed 182 times

01-AX-Pacific-China-Sea-NS.png (199.16 KiB) Viewed 182 times

01-AX-Pacific-China-Sea-NC-1.png (201.36 KiB) Viewed 182 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 23. May/June 1943. Axis #1. Atlantic Theater.

Italian Naval Air & Naval Move x 1.

01-AX-Atlantic-Western-ITA-NAir-NM.png (13.46 KiB) Viewed 182 times

North Sea.

01-AX-Western-North-Sea-It-Naval-Air.png (1.13 MiB) Viewed 182 times

North Atlantic.

01-AX-Atlantic-North-Atlantic-It-NM.png (244.16 KiB) Viewed 182 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 23. May/June 1943. Axis #1. Atlantic Theater.

North Atlantic.

01-AX-Atlantic-North-Atlantic-NC-1-CL.png (9.45 KiB) Viewed 182 times

01-AX-Atlantic-North-Atlantic-NC-1.png (168.89 KiB) Viewed 182 times

01-AX-Atlantic-North-Atlantic-NC-1b.png (153.08 KiB) Viewed 182 times

01-AX-Atlantic-North-Atlantic-NC-1c.png (104.75 KiB) Viewed 182 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 23. May/June 1943. Axis #1. Atlantic Theater.

North Sea.

01-AX-Western-North-Sea-NC-1-CL.png (9.37 KiB) Viewed 182 times

01-AX-West-North-Sea-NC-1.png (149.72 KiB) Viewed 182 times

01-AX-West-North-Sea-NC-1b.png (129.78 KiB) Viewed 182 times

01-AX-West-North-Sea-NC-1c.png (123.67 KiB) Viewed 182 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 23. May/June 1943. Axis #1. Eastern Front.

OKW Land Combat and Ground Strike Planning.
(1) Of the original 7 OKW "suggested" land combat, OKW accepted 5 (LC 1 NW2-Kalinin, 2 W1-Kalinin, 5 NE1-E1-Rostov, 6 SE1-Stavropol, 7 Kerch), moved 1 (LC 4; Tula -> NW1-Tula) & rejected/canceled 1 (3 NW2-Tula).
(2) OKW planning allocated ground strikes to 4 of the 6 LC (1 NW2-Kalinin, 4 NW1-Tula, 5 NE1-E1-Rostov, 6 SE1-Stavropol).
(3) OKW performed a GSTK/GSPT cost benefits analysis to allocate planes/arty to ground strike/ground support.
(4) With the exception of 5.2 NE1-E1-Rostov air mission assignments between ground strike/support followed this analysis as to the optimum allocations.
(5) 5.2 Ju 87B allocation to ground strike was rejected and instead allocated to ground support due strong Soviet fighter strength and the inability of the Luftwaffe to counter intercept both ground strike and support missions to NE1-E1-Rostov.
(6) That is, Luftwaffe only had 1 fighter wing within reactive range & the Soviets have 2 or more.
(7) So the decision was to save Luftwaffe fighter and allocated German bombers to ground support for that LC (i.e., NE1-E1-Rostov).

01-AX-Eastern-LC-GSTK-Map.png (1.78 MiB) Viewed 124 times

01-AX-Eastern-GSTK-Allocation-Matrix.png (32.61 KiB) Viewed 124 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 23. May/June 1943. Axis #1. Eastern Front.

Ground Strike 1/4. LC 1. NW2-Kalinin.

01-AX-Eastern-GSTK-1-CL.png (8.82 KiB) Viewed 124 times

01-AX-Eastern-GSTK-1-NW2-Kalinin.png (345.83 KiB) Viewed 124 times

Ground Strike 2/4. LC 4. NW1-Tula.

01-AX-Eastern-GSTK-4-CL.png (17.2 KiB) Viewed 124 times

01-AX-Eastern-GSTK-4-NW1-Tula.png (219.16 KiB) Viewed 124 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 23. May/June 1943. Axis #1. Eastern Front.

Ground Strike 3/4. LC 5. NE1-E1-Rostov.

01-AX-Eastern-GSTK-5-CL.png (8.27 KiB) Viewed 124 times

01-AX-Eastern-GSTK-5-NE1-E1-Rostov.png (370.16 KiB) Viewed 124 times

Ground Strike 4/4. LC 6. SE1-Stavropol.

01-AX-Eastern-GSTK-6-CL.png (17.01 KiB) Viewed 124 times

01-AX-Eastern-GSTK-6-AA-SE1-Stavropol.png (227.2 KiB) Viewed 124 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 23. May/June 1943. Axis #1. Eastern Front.

OKL/OKW Ground Strike Summary.
(1) Not good.
(2) No Soviet units flipped.
(3) Soviets have built up quite and impressive air army spread across the front.
(4) Luftwaffe fighters will have their hands against likely Soviet defense ground support AND getting their own offensive ground support through.
(5) Western Allied strategic bombing, while painful for the Western Allies and probably not as effective knocking out German/Italian production as the allies would like, has been very effective in one regard.
(6) Which is, diverting significant Luftwaffe & Italian fighter strength away from the Eastern Front and to the Western Front & Italy.
(7) Fighter strength Germany sorely needed/needs to counter the growing Soviet Air Force.

[rkr1958]

Turn 23. May/June 1943. Axis #1. Eastern Front.


Land Move, Rail & LC (Move Prep) Summary.

01-AX-Eastern-LND-Tablw.png (53.64 KiB) Viewed 103 times

Land Combat Declaration.

01-AX-Eastern-LCD.png (2.07 MiB) Viewed 107 times

Arctic LND.

01-AX-Arctic-LND.png (24.07 KiB) Viewed 107 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 23. May/June 1943. Axis #1. Eastern Front.

Potential Defensive HQ Support.

01-AX-Eastern-Potential-Def-HQ-Support.png (1.54 MiB) Viewed 41 times

Potential Offensive HQ Support.

01-AX-Eastern-Potential-Off-HQ-Support.png (1.63 MiB) Viewed 41 times

HQ Support.

01-AX-Eastern-HQ-Support-CL.png (24.64 KiB) Viewed 41 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 23. May/June 1943. Axis #1. Eastern Front.

Offensive Ground Support
Available Planes.

01-AX-Eastern-OFF-GSPT-Available-Planes.png (1.47 MiB) Viewed 40 times

Allocation.

01-AX-Eastern-OFF-GSPT-Allocation-CL.png (19.23 KiB) Viewed 40 times

Defensive Ground Support.
Available Planes.

01-AX-Eastern-Def-GSPT-Available-Planes.png (1.6 MiB) Viewed 40 times

Allocation.

01-AX-Eastern-DEF-GSPT-Allocation-CL.png (22.19 KiB) Viewed 40 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 23. May/June 1943. Axis #1. Eastern Front.

Opposed Ground Support (2).

01-AX-Eastern-GSPT-A2A-CL.png (42.2 KiB) Viewed 40 times

(1/2) 4 NW1-Tula.

01-AX-Eastern-4-NW1-Tula-A2A.png (245.28 KiB) Viewed 40 times

(2/2) 5 NE1-E1-Rostov.

01-AX-Eastern-5-NE1-E1-Rostov-A2A.png (246.92 KiB) Viewed 40 times

Opposed Ground Support (2) Resolution.

01-AX-Eastern-Contested-GSPT-RES-CL.png (9.61 KiB) Viewed 40 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 23. May/June 1943. Axis #1. Eastern Front.

Ground Support (1/2).

LC 1. NW2-Kalinin

01-AX-Eastern-1-GSPT-NW2-Kalinin.png (329.2 KiB) Viewed 39 times

LC 2. W1-Kalinin

01-AX-Eastern-2-GSPT-=W1-Kalinin.png (343.68 KiB) Viewed 39 times

LC 4. NW1-Tula.

01-AX-Eastern-4-GSPT-NW1-Tula.png (334.51 KiB) Viewed 39 times

LC 5 NE1-E1-Rostov.

01-AX-Eastern-5-GSPT-NE1-E1-Rostov.png (359.79 KiB) Viewed 39 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 23. May/June 1943. Axis #1. Eastern Front.

Ground Support (2/2).

LC 6. SE1-Stevropol.
-- None --

LC7 Kerch.

01-AX-Eastern-7-GSPT-Kerch.png (298.09 KiB) Viewed 39 times

Land Combat - Final Odds & Expected.
(1) 6 Land Combat, all blitz.
(2) 40 German corps/divs attacking 12 Soviet armies/corps/divs.
(3) 82.4% Average PWIN.
(4) Ex[Soviet BP Killed] = 14.98
(5) Ex[German BP Loss] = 5.52

01-AX-Eastern-LC-Expected.png (24.91 KiB) Viewed 39 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 23. May/June 1943. Axis #1. Eastern Front.

Land Combat (1/2).
LC 1 NW2-Kalinin

01-AX-Eastern-1-LC-NW2-Kalinin.png (267.86 KiB) Viewed 39 times

LC 2 W1-Kalinin

01-AX-Eastern-2-LC-W1-Kalinin.png (254.49 KiB) Viewed 39 times

LC 4 NW1-Tula

01-AX-Eastern-4-LC-NW1-Tula.png (260.95 KiB) Viewed 39 times

LC 5 NE1-E1-Rostov

01-AX-Eastern-5-LC-NE1-E1-Rostov.png (263.05 KiB) Viewed 39 times

[rkr1958]

Turn 23. May/June 1943. Axis #1. Eastern Front.

Land Combat (2/2).
LC 6 SE1-Stevrepol

01-AX-Eastern-6-LC-SE1-Stevropol.png (267.45 KiB) Viewed 39 times

LC 7 Kerch

01-AX-Eastern-7-LC-Kerch.png (234.67 KiB) Viewed 39 times

Summary.
(1) Ge won 5 of 6 blitz (83.3%) land combats, which matches very well with the average 82.4% PWIN.
(2) However; they killed 27 Soviet BPs greatly overperforming the 15 expected.
(3) Also they only lost 2 German BPs significantly under the 5.5 expected.
(4) Germany's average 2D10 LC roll was 14, with 3 of the 6 rolls an 18 or 19!

01-AX-Eastern-LC-CL.png (37.13 KiB) Viewed 39 times